摘要
“十四五”规划提出以城乡协调发展为目标,文章在城乡收入差距和基尼系数基础上,依据收入五等份结构层次,构建城乡收入平衡性测度模型并进行实证检验,研究城乡收入平衡发展状况和趋势。研究发现:(1)城乡收入平衡性呈现梯度对接平衡状态,农村高收入层次与城镇中间收入层次对称平衡,农村中上和中间收入层次与城镇低收入层次对称平衡。(2)城乡收入平衡点系数从2013年的1.65上升到2019年的1.70,平衡人口比重从2013年的58%上升到2019年的62%,城乡收入平衡呈逐步提升的趋势,并且具有平衡点与平衡人口协调发展规律。(3)在城乡收入平衡性框架内,城乡收入的绝对贫困差缩小和相对贫困差扩大,隐含着城乡收入平衡的新问题。(4)城乡收入平衡人口数量占全国总人口的24.4%,具有中国农村人口就地城镇化和新型城镇化联动意义。
The 14 th Five-Year Plan outlines the target of a coordinated development of urban and rural areas. Based on the urban-rural income gap and GINI coefficient, the paper builds an Urban-Rural Income Balance Model with a quinquepartite income measure, and it tests the situation and trend of urban-rural income development balance empirically.The research finds that:(1) the urban-rural income balance exists in different income gradients. Rural high income level is comparable to urban middle income level, while the rural middle and upper-middle income levels are close to the ur ban low-income level.(2) The income balance coefficient rose from 1.65 in 2013 to 1.70 in 2019. The share of population in balanced income gradients increased from 58 percent in 2013 to 62 percent in 2019. The balance of urban-rural income shows a gradual improvement.(3) The absolute rural-urban poverty gap narrows, while the relative poverty gap enlarges, implying new issues of urban-rural income balance.(4) The population in balanced rural-urban income gradients accounts for 24.4 percent of China’s total population, and it has policy implications for the urbanization modes of rural population in China.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第6期2-15,126,共15页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目“新三支柱‘橄榄型’可持续发展养老制度优化与设计”(项目编号:71731007)的阶段性成果。
