摘要
环境规制与经济增长间存在着复杂的相关关系,在短期,规制效应更多地体现为使经济承担更多的“遵循成本”,但长期看,会通过“创新补偿”“结构效应”等将促进经济增长。论文首先阐述了环境规制通过技术进步中介、产业结构优化中介、技术进步推动产业结构优化的链式中介促进经济增长的机制,然后构造了包含两个独立中介和一个链式中介的链式多重中介模型,分别从全国层面和分区域对环境规制驱动经济增长的中介效应进行了实证测度。研究结果表明:在全国层面,环境规制分别经由技术进步、产业结构优化、技术进步推动产业结构优化三条路径显著促进了经济增长。从区域层面,环境规制驱动经济增长效的路径则存在明显的区域异质性。东部地区环境规制对经济增长的中介效应不显著,主要通过直接效应促进经济增长;中部地区环存在完全中介效应,环境规制通过三种中介对经济增长产生了显著的促进作用;西部地区环境规制则主要通过产业结构优化中介促进经济增长,其他两种中介效应不显著。
There are complex correlations between environmental regulation and economic growth.In the short term,environmental regulation does create more“compliance costs”for the economy.But in the long run,it will promote economic growth through"innovation compensation"and"structural effects".This paper first interprets the mechanisms of environmental regulation driving economic growth through three transmission paths systematically.Then,it designs a chain multi-mediation model to test the effects of environmental regulation on economic growth from national and regional levels respectively.The results show that at the national level,environmental regulation drives economic growth through three paths:technological progress,industrial structure optimization and technological progress facilitating industrial structure optimization.From the regional level,there are obvious regional heterogeneities in the paths for environmental regulation to drive economic growth.In the eastern region,the mediation effect is not significant,and environmental regulation drives economic growth mainly through its direct effect;in the central region,there is a complete mediation effect,and environmental regulation significantly drives economic growth through all three mediations;and in the western region,environmental regulation mainly drives economic growth through one mediation,that is,industrial structure optimization.
作者
吴学花
刘亚丽
田洪刚
鲁婧颉
WU Xuehua;LIU Yali;TIAN Honggang;LU Jingjie(不详)
出处
《济南大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2021年第1期118-135,159,160,共20页
Journal of University of Jinan:Social Science Edition
基金
国家社科基金项目“中国制造业转型升级与碳效率耦合研究”(项目编号:15BJY076)的阶段性成果。
