摘要
山西省煤层气资源潜力巨大,主要集中在沁水、鄂尔多斯盆地东缘(鄂东)两大含煤盆地或地区,目前已建成沁水和鄂东两大煤层气产业基地。未来山西煤层气产业将更多的面向中深层、中低阶煤层气资源,并有望实现"煤系三气"的共探共采。依据现有资源规模和可以预见的技术发展方向,采用多旋回哈伯特模型对山西省煤层气储产量增长趋势进行了预测,在出台更完善的激励政策的前提下,"十五五"山西省煤层气累计探明储量有望达到1.36×10^12m^3,达产140×10^8m^3。
Shanxi Province has huge coalbed methane(CBM)resources potential,with enrichment in Qinshui Basin and Eastern Ordos Basin.Currently,Qinshui and Eastern Ordos CBM industrial bases have been established.In the future,the CBM industry in Shanxi province will be more focused on CBM resources with medium-deep burial depth and low-medium coal rank,and be expected to realize the co-exploration and development(E&D)of CBM,shale gas and tight sandstone gas in coal measures.Based on the existing resource scale and predictable technology development,multi-cycle Hubbert Model is used to predict the growth trend of CBM reserves and production in Shanxi Province.With more perfect incentive policies,the accumulative proven reserves of CBM in Shanxi Province are expected to reach 1.36 trillion m^3 with annual production of 14 billion m^3 by 2030.
作者
王坤
张国生
李志欣
梁坤
黄金亮
WANG Kun;ZHANG Guosheng;LI Zhixin;LIANG Kun;HUANG Jinliang(Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development,Beijing 100083)
出处
《中国煤层气》
2020年第6期39-43,共5页
China Coalbed Methane
基金
中国工程院重点咨询研究项目《山西省煤层气开采痛点凝练及解决对策研究》(2019-XZ-69)。
关键词
资源规模
产业基地
储产量增长趋势
激励政策
Resource scale
industrial bases
increase trend of reserve and production
incentive policies