摘要
在梳理我国煤层气开发利用现状的基础上,对煤层气抽采的重要性、必要性进行了分析,构建了煤层气抽采量灰色时间序列组合预测模型,实证研究了模型的误差,以期为提高煤层气抽采量预测精度提供新的思路。
On the basis of combing the status of coalbed methane development and utilization in China,the importance and necessity of coalbed methane extraction are analyzed. And a combination forecasting model of Gray Time Series of coalbed methane drainage volume is constructed,the error of the model is empirically studied,in order to provide a new idea for improving the prediction accuracy of coalbed methane drainage.
作者
秦容军
Qin Rongjun(China Coal Research Institute,Beijing 100013,China;Coal Industry Planning Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100120,China)
出处
《煤炭经济研究》
2020年第12期59-64,共6页
Coal Economic Research
基金
国家科技重大专项资助项目(2016ZX05045-007-001)。
关键词
灰色预测模型
时间序列
煤层气抽采量
Grey Prediction Model
time series
coalbed methane drainage volume
