摘要
本文以厦门国际马拉松比赛为例,量化评估举办大型体育赛事对当地经济的影响。作者利用2009年上市公司的面板数据,通过因果分析方法中的虚拟事实(counterfactual)对举办马拉松比赛的机会成本进行估计。研究发现在赛事举办期间,厦门经济得到了正向的刺激。这和利用调查问卷方式估算的厦门举办马拉松期间经济活动产生的直接经济效应一致。此外,作者还对举办马拉松赛事的长期经济效应进行了研究。通过回归分析全国一、二线城市2006-2015年的经济增长面板数据,得出举办马拉松的城市伴随更高经济增长率的结论。因此作者支持通过举办大型体育赛事来提升城市竞争力,不仅由于其符合"新经济、新动能"和绿色经济的概念,而且实例分析表明举办大型体育赛事确实能拉动当地经济发展。
We evaluate the impact of hosting mega sports events on the local economy using the case of Xiamen International Marathon.Using the panel data of stock returns in 2009,we estimate the counterfactual and opportunity costs of hosting the event.Specifically,we use local firms’stock returns and that of the comparison group’s stock returns,to estimate the counterfactual of‘if Xiamen was not hosting the Marathon event’.We find that hosting the Marathon game boosted the local economy which is in accordance with the direct economic impact estimated from a survey of local business,residents and tourists.We also study the long run impact of hosting sport events by using a panel data of all first-and second-tier cities and find that hosting marathon games is associated with higher long run economic growth.Therefore,we support that cities could improve their competitiveness by hosting mega sports events,since it not only fits the concept of‘new economy,new drivers of growth’and green economy,but also stimulate of the local economic development as shown by the empirical studies.
作者
范青亮
洪永淼
FAN Qingliang;HONG Yongmiao(The Chinese University of Hong Kong;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,CAS;School of Economics and Management,UCAS)
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第2期24-41,共18页
China Economic Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71671149)
福建省高校杰出青年科研人才培育计划的资助。
关键词
体育经济
政策评估
经济增长
sports economy
policy evaluation
economic growth
