摘要
目的:了解中医药文化传播的发展现状并运用多元统计模型做出预测。方法:搜集整理了2008—2017年的168篇研究中医药文化传播的论文,进行曲线回归分析给出两个模型并计算出未来3年中医药文化传播论文的预测值和残差值,选择拟合效果更好的模型。结果:由曲线回归分析假设检验的结果,表明建立三次函数和二次函数是合适的模型,但经过图像拟合比较三次函数模型更好。结论:多元统计模型能够较好地拟合中医药文化传播期刊文献量,在中医药文化传播的发展现状预测研究中具有一定的应用价值。
Objective:To survey the development status of TCM cultural communication and make prediction using multivariate statistical model.Methods:All 168 papers on TCM culture communication from 2008 to 2017 were collected and analyzed,curve regression analysis was carried out to give two models,calculate the predicted value and residual value of TCM culture communication papers in the next three years,to select the model with better fitting effects.Results:The results of hypothesis test,analyzed by curve regression,show that cubic function and quadratic function are suitable models,but cubic function model is better than quadratic function model through image fitting.Conclusion:Multivariate statistical model can better fit the literature quantity of TCM culture communication journals,and it has a certain application value in the prediction of the development status of TCM culture communication.
作者
关红阳
李新
李伟
赵凯
张楠
GUAN Hongyang;LI Xin;LI Wei;ZHAO Kai;ZHANG Nan(Liaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Shenyang 110847,China)
出处
《西部中医药》
2021年第6期64-66,共3页
Western Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine
基金
2017年辽宁省教育厅科学研究项目(L201732)
2017年辽宁中医药大学人文社会科学研究项目(2017lnzy017)。
关键词
中医药文化传播
多元统计
模型
TCM cultural communication
multivariate statistical analysis
model
