摘要
蔬菜供应保障是大都市经济发展、社会稳定的基础。作为全国特大城市的上海,应该始终将"菜篮子"产品供应保障放在都市现代农业发展的首位。为了探究如何高效推进上海蔬菜产业的可持续发展,从地产现状、消费状况、市场价格等角度对上海蔬菜产业现状与供需情况进行了深入分析,应用上海农业展望模型,对"十四五"及2027年上海蔬菜生产、消费、价格等进行中长期预测。结合目前发展现状,放眼未来供需趋势,提出了"稳生产、提效率、提质量、促流通、稳市场"上海蔬菜产业发展思路,可为大城市蔬菜产业发展政策制定提供决策参考。
The balance of vegetable supply and demand is an important guarantee for the economic development and social stability of metropolis.In order to explore how to effectively promote the sustainable development of Shanghai’s vegetable industry,firstly,it analyzes the status of Shanghai’s vegetable industry from the perspectives of real estate status,consumption quantity,and price trends.Then it predicts the trend of Shanghai’s vegetable market in the next ten years from the perspectives of production,consumption,and prices.Finally,it proposes policy recommendations for sustainable development of Shanghai’s vegetable industry such as green production,mechanized production,innovative circulation models,cultivating new enterprises,and building a shared platform.It can provide effective policy basis for the development of vegetable industry in big cities.
作者
李干琼
王盛威
许世卫
赵京音
马佳
LI Ganqiong;WANG Shengwei;XU Shiwei;ZHAO Jingyin;MA Jia(Agricultural Information Institute of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China;Key Laboratory of Agricultural Information Service Technology,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100081,China;Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology Information,Shanghai Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Shanghai 201403,China)
出处
《上海农业学报》
2021年第4期125-132,共8页
Acta Agriculturae Shanghai
基金
中国农业科学院农业信息研究所基本科研业务费(JBYW-AII-2020)
上海市农业科学院卓越团队计划项目[农科创2017(B-09)]。
关键词
蔬菜产业
供需分析
供需预测
市场展望
上海蔬菜
Vegetable industry
Supply and demand analysis
Supply and demand forecasts
Market outlook
Shanghai vegetable
