摘要
模型模拟作为碳达峰目标及实施路径研究的主要手段,对于推进各级政府、重点行业和企业科学编制碳达峰行动方案,助力实现“30·60”目标具有重要意义。介绍3类主要的碳达峰情景预测模拟方法,并对其进行了综合对比分析,同时对几种代表性模型及应用情况进行梳理和评述,以期为有关部门和技术人员开展碳达峰研究和实践提供参考。
Model simulation,which is considered as a crucial approach for the research on the goal of peak carbon dioxide emissions and its implementation,is of great significance for promoting the scientific formulation of action plan for peak carbon dioxide emissions by governments of all levels,key industries and enterprises,and thus being helpful to achieve the"30·60"goal.This paper introduces and compares three major simulation methods for peak carbon dioxide emissions scenario prediction,and summarizes and comments on several representative models and their applications.The results of this paper can provide reference for relevant departments and technical staff to carry out research and practice for peak carbon dioxide emissions.
出处
《环境保护与循环经济》
2021年第7期97-101,共5页
environmental protection and circular economy
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(31972522)
国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC1801205)
辽宁省科技重大专项资助项目(2019JH1/10300001)
辽宁省教育厅科学研究项目(LQN202003)
辽宁省“兴辽英才计划”青年拔尖人才资助项目。
关键词
碳达峰
模拟方法
预测模型
peak carbon dioxide emissions
simulation method
prediction model
