摘要
基于2011—2018年省级动态面板数据,通过对木材市场建模,设定两个待检验模型:需求决定供给、市场特征为消费型市场的模型和供给决定需求、市场特征为供给型市场的模型,对该两类模型进行动态面板的检验,最终确定木材市场属于以供给为主导的市场。因此,用供给改革刺激消费需求的增长,为国内经济大循环提供木材行业的动能与贡献,研究结果为木材行业实施精准的供给侧改革提供了理论依据。
Based on the provincial dynamic panel data from 2011 to 2018,this paper sets up 2 models to be tested by modeling the timber market:The model in which demand determines supply and the market is characterized as a consumer market and the model in which supply determines demand and the market is characterized as a supply-based market.This paper conducts a dynamic panel test on these 2 models,and finally determines that the timber market is a supply-dominated market.Therefore,it stimulates the growth of consumer demand through supply reforms,and provides the kinetic energy and contribution of the timber industry for the domestic economic cycle.The findings of the research provide a theoretical basis for the precise supply-side reform of the timber industry.
作者
刘铮
Liu Zheng(Henan Forestry Vocational College, Luoyang Henan 471000, China)
出处
《西南林业大学学报（社会科学）》
CAS
2021年第5期11-14,共4页
Journal of Southwest Forestry University(Social Sciences)
基金
洛阳市社会科学规划项目“需求侧还是供给侧?基于省级动态面板数据对木材市场供求关系的计量检验研究”(2021B095)资助。
关键词
木材市场
供求关系
动态面板数据
timber market
relationship between supply and demand
dynamic panel data
