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中国大都市的“灰犀牛式危机”与政府风险治理模式的重塑--基于两个典型案例的分析 被引量:15

“The Gray Rhino Crisis”in Chinese Metropolis and the Remodeling of the Government's Risk Governance Model:Based on the Analysis of Two Typical Cases
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摘要 中国城市化的高速发展与城市治理能力的相对低下形成了强烈反差,传统的科层制政府组织对城市化进程中的系统性风险缺乏足够的感知,导致了以组织失误为深层表征与症结的“灰犀牛式危机”。基于相关文献,本文提出了一个组织视角下的“灰犀牛式危机”发生与演化机理的解释框架,进而运用该框架深入剖析了天津大爆炸和深圳渣土滑坡两个案例,全面地揭示了组织失误(包括审视失误、整合失误、激励失误和学习失误四种类型)的体现,并论证了组织失误是当前我国大都市“灰犀牛式危机”发生的重要根源。本文强调治理大都市的“灰犀牛式危机”离不开政府风险(危机)治理体系和治理能力的现代化——其本质是政府风险治理模式的重塑。而且,在思考如何标本兼治时不能仅仅停留在技术治理层面,而应当迈向政府风险治理的政治学。 There is a striking contrast between the rapid development of china's urbanization and the relatively low level of urban governance,traditional bureaucratic government organizations lack sufficient perception of systemic risk in the process of urbanization,as a result,Chinese metropolitan governance encounters with the grey rhino crisis,which is characterized by organizational failure.Based on the literature review,this paper puts forward an interpretative framework of the occurrence and evolution mechanism of the grey rhino crisis from the perspective of organization.Then,We make an in-depth empirical analysis of two typical cases of Tianjin Big Bang and Shenzhen landslides,which reveals the manifestations of organizational failure,and demonstrates that organizational failure is an important source of the occurrence of the grey rhino crisis.Finally,it is concluded that governing the grey rhino crisis is inseparable from the modernization of government risk governance system and capability——Its essence is the remodeling of the government's risk governance model.Moreover,when thinking about how to solve both symptoms and root causes,we should not stop at the level of administration or management of technical governance,but should proceed to the politics of government risk(crisis)governance.
作者 黄杰 吴佳 Huang Jie;Wu Jia
出处 《公共管理与政策评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第5期79-94,共16页 Public Administration and Policy Review
基金 2021年度教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“重大公共危机应对中制度优势转化为治理效能的机制与经验研究”(项目批准号:21YJA810005)的阶段性成果。
关键词 城市治理 灰犀牛式危机 无察觉危机 组织失误 政府风险治理 Urban Governance Grey Rhino Crisis Invisible Crisis Organizational Failure Government's Risk Governance
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