摘要
城镇稳定居留是农民工市民化的基础。为揭示新生代农民工城镇稳定居留和返乡就业趋势,采用全国1023份问卷调查数据,建立二元和多重定类Logistic模型,分析新生代农民工城镇居留稳定性影响因素、未来流动意向和返乡创业意愿。研究发现,新生代农民工打工目的是收入挣得而不是居留城镇和市民化;人力资本对新生代农民工城镇居留稳定性影响具有两面性;农村产业不具有就业吸引力,大城市难以立足倒逼新生代农民工返乡归田;打工中见识和自省提高了农民工返乡创业意愿。研究提出协同推进农业转型和农村新型工业化,成立乡村学院培养紧缺人才,整合各类扶持资金支持发展规模化特色产业,盘活农村集体建设用地支持市民下乡和能人返乡创业等建议。
Stable residence in cities and towns is the basis of the urbanization of migrant workers. In order to reveal the trend of stable residence and return employment in the new generation of peasant workers,the 1023 questionnaire data of the whole country were used to establish two dualistic and multiple fixed logistic models,and to analyze the influencing factors of the residence stability of the new generation of peasant workers,the intention of future mobility and the willingness to return to venture. It is found that the purpose of the new generation of migrant workers is to earn income rather than to stay in towns and citizens,and the impact of human capital on the stability of the new generation of migrant workers in cities and towns has two sides,the rural industry is not attractive,the big cities are difficult to establish a new generation of migrant workers to return home returning;Knowledge and introspection in part-time work have improved the willingness of migrant workers to return home to start a business. This paper puts forward some suggestions,such as promoting agricultural transformation and new industrialization in rural areas,setting up rural colleges to train scarce talents,integrating all kinds of supporting funds to support the development of largescale characteristic industries,and activating rural collective construction land to support citizens to return to the countryside and talents.
作者
刘洪银
LIU Hongyin(College of Humanities,Tianjin Agricultural University,Tianjin 300384,China;Laboratory of Urban-Rural Industry Convergence,Tianjin 300384,China)
出处
《山西农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第5期90-99,共10页
Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University:Social Science Edition
基金
天津市教委社会科学重大项目“资本下乡推进天津市农村一二三产业深度融合路径研究”(2019JWZD49)。
关键词
新生代农民工
城镇稳定居留
返乡就业创业
New generation of migrant workers
Stable residence in towns
Home business
