摘要
针对灰色拓扑预测在供热领域应用中的不足提出了改进,建立了新模型。成功对某高校集中供热系统热负荷的未来值进行了全波形预测。对未来负荷预测值与真实负荷值各216组数据作误差分析,得出平均相对误差为9.294%,验证了模型可靠性和准确性。
In view of the shortcomings in the application of heat supply, the author puts forward the improvement of grey topological prediction and establishes a new model. The new model is used to predict the future value of the heating load of the central heating system in a university. Based on the error analysis of 216 sets of data, the average relative error is 9.294%, which verifies the reliability and accuracy of the model.
作者
付万元
马广兴
张宁
FU Wan-yuan;MA Guang-xing;ZHANG Ning(School of Civil Engineering,Inner Mongolia University of Technology;Key Laboratory Civil Engineering Structure and Mechanics of Inner Mongolia;Jining No.1 Middle School,Inner Mongolia)
出处
《建筑热能通风空调》
2021年第8期13-17,103,共6页
Building Energy & Environment
基金
内蒙古自治区自然科学基金(2017MS(LH)0508)。
