摘要
“一带一路”倡议提出以来,沿线国家经济发展加速,受到国际社会的普遍关注。本文聚焦“一带一路”沿线国家的外商直接投资(Inward Foreign Direct Investment,IFDI),采用数据包络分析(Data Envelop Analysis,DEA)测度沿线各国IFDI的投资效率。研究发现,沿线国家的IFDI投资效率国别差异较大,“一带一路”倡议提出后,投资效率有显著提升。进一步,使用Tobit模型分析了投资环境因素对投资效率的影响。东道国的经济稳定性、政治稳定性、基础设施建设和产业结构对投资效率有正向影响,外贸依存度和资源禀赋对投资效率有负向影响。
The Belt and Road(BR)countries have been receiving extensive attention from the world.This paper focuses on inward foreign direct investments(IFDI)in the BR countries and employs Data Envelop Analysis(DEA)to measure the IFDI efficiency.The research finds that the IFDI efficiency varies greatly from county to country across the countries.After the Belt and Road Initiative was proposed,the IFDI efficiency has been significantly promoted.Further,the Tobit model is used to research the influences of the investment environmental factors on the efficiency.The economic stability,political stability,infrastructure and industrial structure have positive effects on the efficiency,while the dependence on foreign trade and the natural endowments have negative effects.
作者
李冰
田世慧
LI Bing;TIAN Shi-hui
出处
《经济论坛》
2021年第10期61-72,共12页
Economic Forum
基金
上海市哲学社会科学基金“‘一带一路’沿线国家FDI网络演化与投资效率研究”(2019BJB009)
“复旦大学-金光集团思想库”课题项目
关键词
IFDI
投资效率
“一带一路”
数据包络分析
Inward Foreign Direct Investments
Investment efficiency
The Belt and Road Countries
Data Envelop Analysis