摘要
为掌握黄河流域骨干枢纽的泥沙调控利用潜力,从水利枢纽的调沙潜力、输沙潜力和泥沙资源利用潜力的各特征指标出发,结合水利枢纽的共性指标,建立骨干枢纽群的泥沙调控利用潜力评价指标体系,提出基于多目标灰靶理论-累积前景理论的水利枢纽泥沙调控利用潜力量化方法。该方法利用多目标灰靶理论确定泥沙调控利用潜力评价指标体系决策矩阵,结合累积前景理论确定骨干枢纽综合前景值。采用模糊判别法对黄河流域骨干枢纽的泥沙调控利用潜力进行综合评价。由研究结果可知,小浪底水库的泥沙调控利用潜力最大,其次是刘家峡水库和三门峡水库,万家寨水库最小。
In order to grasp the regulation and utilization potential ofkey reservoirs in the Yellow River Basin,the value evaluation system of sediment dynamic regulation potential of key water conservancy projects was established based on the characteristic indexes of sediment control potential,sediment transport potential and sediment resource utilization potential combined with the common indexes of water conservancy projects.Sediment dynamic control capacity quantitative method was presented based on multi-objective grey target theory and the cumulative prospect theory.The method was used to deal with index matrix by the multi-objective grey target theory and realized the quantification of the potential value by combining with the cumulative prospect theory.Finally,taking the key reservoirs of the Yellow River as an example,the fuzzy assessment method was applied to make comprehensive evaluation of sediment dynamic control potential.The results show that the Xiaolangdi Reservoir has the highest sediment dynamic regulation capacity,Liujiaxia Reservoir,Sanmenxia Reservoir and Wanjiazhai Reservoir rank the second to the fourth respectively.
作者
李新杰
李弘瑞
张红涛
孔德志
王远见
LI Xinjie;LI Hongrui;ZHANG Hongtao;KONG Dezhi;WANG Yuanjian(Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research,Zhengzhou 450003,China;School of Electric Power,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450011,China;Hydrological Bureau of Yellow River Conservancy Commission,Zhengzhou 450004,China)
出处
《人民黄河》
CAS
北大核心
2021年第11期40-45,51,共7页
Yellow River
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC0407406)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51879115,42041004)
2020年度河南省优秀青年科学基金项目(202300410540)
华北水利水电大学研究生教育创新计划项目(YK2020-23)。
关键词
泥沙调控
灰靶理论
前景理论
模糊理论
骨干枢纽
黄河流域
sediment regulation
grey target theory
prospect theory
fuzzy theory
key reservoir
Yellow River Basin
