摘要
运用偏小二乘回归模型,测算新疆乡村旅游推动乡村经济振兴影响因素的回归系数和VIP指数,分析新疆乡村旅游各影响因子对乡村经济振兴的影响力水平。结果表明:乡村旅游从业人员、游客可进入性、星级农家乐等影响因子回归系数均超过10%,VIP指数均超过1,对乡村经济振兴有重要作用;旅行社变量的回归系数为-0.101,对乡村经济振兴具有一定的负效应;乡村旅游支撑和乡村旅游需求指标的回归系数均小于0.1,对乡村经济振兴的影响较弱。新疆应通过发展乡村交通基础设施、提高景区的游客吸引力、提高农民旅游业就业率、扩张旅游经济产业规模等方式,推动新疆乡村经济振兴。
The regression coefficient and VIP index of the influential factors of Xinjiang rural tourism promoting the rural economic revitalization were calculated by using the partial two-multiplier regression model,and the influence level of the influential factors of Xinjiang rural tourism on the rural economic revitalization was analyzed.The results show that the regression coefficients of the influencing factors,such as the rural tourism practitioners,the accessibility of tourists,the star-level farmhouse and other factors are all over 10%,and the VIP indexes are all over 1,which play an important role in the rural economic revitalization.The regression coefficient of travel agency variable is-0.101,which has a certain negative effect on the rural economic revitalization.The regression coefficient of rural tourism support and rural tourism demand index is less than 0.1,which has a weak impact on rural economic revitalization.Xinjiang should promote the revitalization of rural economy by developing rural transportation infrastructure,improving tourist attraction of scenic spots,increasing employment rate of farmers'tourism and expanding the scale of tourism economic industry.
作者
胡莉莉
李翠林
HU Lili;LI Cuilin(College of Tourism,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China)
出处
《乐山师范学院学报》
2021年第10期67-73,共7页
Journal of Leshan Normal University
基金
国家社科基金“乡村振兴战略下的民族地区文化创意产业与旅游业融合机制、模式与路径”(19XMZ077)
新疆自治区高校社科基金项目“以乡村旅游推动新疆乡村振兴的演进机制与发展路径究”(XJEDU2019SI008)
新疆财经大学科研项目“乡村旅游与乡村经济振兴的影响关系研究:基于田园综合体视角”(2019XYB008)。
关键词
乡村旅游
乡村经济振兴
影响因素
Rural Tourism
Rural Economic Revitalization
Influence Factors
