摘要
冷战结束后,随着国际格局的变化,特别是近年来中日美综合国力的消长,日本的外交战略意识发生了相互关联的两个明显变化,即由蛰伏式"追随外交"到塑造未来型"引领外交"。以此为因果,日本尝试集地缘政治、地缘经济、价值导向为一体的国际政治重大议程的主动设置、推进与落地,此即"印太战略"之谓。安倍政府将作为该战略基干的美日印澳四国集团由"价值联盟"和"安全联盟",一步步引领推进为印太战略的"共识联盟";并借助作为国际安全公共产品的反恐,通过"反恐ODA外交"等,将"印太战略"包装成国际公共产品,冀以获取广泛的国际共识基础。这些都说明,日本外交战略不仅拥有前所未有的主动进行国际政治重大议题设置的强烈意识,同时也具备不容小觑的推展能力。而且,不能排除日本将台湾、南海等作为关键议题设置目标。日本外交的这种新态势,给中日关系带来新的严峻挑战,值得关注与警惕。
Since the end of the Cold War,along with the changes in international system,especially the power shift among China,Japan and the United States in recent years,Japan’s diplomatic strategic consciousness has undergone two obvious interrelated changes.One is to change from"follower diplomacy"to"leader’s diplomacy"which aims to take an initiative role in shaping the future.The other,correspondingly,is the creation of"Indo-Pacific strategy"which tries to actively design,advance and implement a major international political agenda that integrates geopolitics,geoeconomics,and value orientation altogether.The U.S.-Australia-India-Japan Consultations(the"Quad"),being the backbone of the Indo-Pacific strategy,has been transformed by the Abe administration from a"Value Alliance"and"Security Alliance"to a"Consensus Alliance"for the Indo-Pacific strategy.At the same time,with the help of counter-terrorism as international security public goods and through"anti-terrorism ODA diplomacy,"the Indo-Pacific strategy has been packaged by the Abe administration as international public product in order to obtain a broad international consensus.It shows that Japan not only has a strong consciousness of taking the initiative to set major international political agendas,but also has demonstrated a considerable ability to advance those agendas in practice.We can’t rule out the possibility that Japan will even set goals for Taiwan and the South China Sea as key issues.This new trend of Japan’s diplomacy will post serious challenges to Sino-Japan relations and deserves close attention and vigilance.
作者
胡令远
殷长晖
Hu Lingyuan;Yin Changhui(Center for Japanese Studies;School of International Relations and Public Affairs,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)
出处
《复旦学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第6期137-152,共16页
Fudan Journal（Social Sciences）
关键词
议程设置
印太战略
四国集团
国际公共产品
反恐ODA
agenda setting
Indo-Pacific strategy
Quad
international public goods
anti-terrorism ODA
