摘要
以福建省为研究对象,利用“自上而下”法测算出2006—2018年的福建省交通碳排放量,在此基础上基于广义分类指数分解法将碳排放影响因素分解成8个,并进行阶段性和积累性分析.结果表明:交通运输业产值、能源消耗量和客货运周转量是导致碳排放增加的主要因素;周转碳强度是导致碳排放降低的主要因素;能源强度、单位周转量产值和单位产值能耗对碳排放变化的影响较弱.
To explore measures to lower energy consumption and carbon emission,carbon emissions from the transportation sector in Fujian Province during 2006-2018 were calculated using the top-down method.On this basis,the influencing factors of carbon emissions were roughly decomposed into 8 factors based on generalized Divisia index decomposition model(GDIM),then periodic analysis and cumulative analysis were carried out to specify the primary influencing factors contributing to carbon emissions.The results showed that transportation GDP,energy consumption and turnover from passengers and freights all led to mounting carbon emissions.Carbon turnover intensity was the dominant factor for cutting down carbon emissions while energy intensity,turnover per unit of transportation GDP and energy consumption per unit of transportation GDP exerted lesser effects.
作者
戈秋虞
张兰怡
邱荣祖
胡喜生
张园园
GE Qiuyu;ZHANG Lanyi;QIU Rongzu;HU Xisheng;ZHANG Yuanyuan(College of Transportation and Civil Engineering,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002,China)
出处
《福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）》
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第1期131-136,共6页
Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University:Natural Science Edition
基金
福建农林大学“杰出青年科研人才”计划项目(社会科学类)(xjq2020S4)
教育部产学合作协同育人项目(202101116005、202102283121、202102658021)
福建省自然科学基金项目(2018J01634)
福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS21057).
关键词
交通碳排放
影响因素
广义分类指数分解法
福建省
transportation carbon emission
driving factor
generalized Divisia index decomposition model
Fujian Province
