摘要
包容性绿色发展倡导包容性与绿色化共存,是实现经济、社会、生态三大系统协同发展,促进高质量发展的重要途径。基于2004—2017年长江经济带108个城市的面板数据,运用定基极差熵权法、耦合协调度模型和面板分位数回归等计量手段,对长江经济带包容性绿色发展水平的时空异质特征及影响因素等问题进行测度与识别。结果表明:1)长江经济带包容性绿色发展水平整体呈逐年上升趋势,其空间格局表现为从长江下游地区到长江上游地区逐级递减的阶梯性差异,同时还具有全局空间正自相关性,形成了以省会城市为集聚地的"多中心"发展格局;2)与均值回归估计结果不同,面板分位数模型进一步发现,经济发展水平、外商直接投资和环境规制对包容性绿色发展中等水平城市影响较大,人口分布情况、科研投入水平对包容性绿色发展较低或较高水平城市影响程度更强,而产业结构仅对包容性绿色发展低水平城市有显著影响。以上研究结论,可为促进不同包容性绿色发展水平城市的经济高质量发展提供有益的实证参考和政策建议。
Based on the panel data of 108 prefectures and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2004 to 2017, econometric methods such as fixed base range entropy method, system coupling coordination model and panel quantile regression are used to measure and identify the spatio-temporal heterogeneity and influencing factors of the inclusive green development level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The results find that: during the sample period,the inclusive green development level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt shows a gradual upward trend, and at the same time, it also has the characteristics of global spatial positive autocorrelation and spatial agglomeration, forming a “polycentric” development state with provincial capital cities as gathering places. Different from the results of mean regression estimation, the panel quantile model further found that the level of economic development, foreign direct investment and environmental regulation have a greater impact on inclusive green development in the middle quantile;Population distribution and the level of investment in scientific research have stronger impact on inclusive green development in lower or higher quantiles, while industrial structure only has a significant impact on low quantiles. Based on the above analysis, it can help to formulate relevant policy recommendations to promote their level of inclusive green development in view of the differences in the level of regional inclusive green development.
作者
邓淇中
秦燕丝
何晓慧
DENG Qizhong;QIN Yansi;HE Xiaohui(School of Business,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan 411201,Hunan,China)
出处
《中南林业科技大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第6期1-9,共9页
Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology（Social Sciences）
基金
国家社科基金项目“长江经济带生态环境与绿色金融的动态耦合机制及引导策略研究”(21BJY122)。
关键词
包容性绿色发展
时空异质
耦合协调发展
面板分位数模型
长江经济带
inclusive green development
spatio-temporal heterogeneity
coupling and coordinated development
panel quantile model
Yangtze River Economic Belt
