摘要
当前我国农地流转市场发展的瓶颈并非供给不足,而是缺乏需求。因此,如何创造有效需求是进一步促进农地流转市场发展的关键。本文利用2015年和2017年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,采用双重差分模型(DID)考察新型农业经营主体(简称"新型主体")能否成为农地流转的需求引擎。研究发现,新型主体既能通过自身农地需求直接拉动农户出租土地,又能促进农户投资间接带动农户租入土地。但农户的农地流转决策与务农比较收益有关,非平原地区务农比较收益低,新型主体以直接拉动效应为主,而平原地区务农比较收益高,新型主体以间接带动效应为主。在各类新型主体中,家庭农场和专业大户自身农地需求大而具有显著的直接拉动效应,农民专业合作社的互助联合能带动农户之间的农地流转,而农业企业暂不具有显著的农地流转效应。最后,本文发现新型主体可通过促进农地流转提高农地整体利用率,并进一步提高农业产出和农户收入。研究表明,新型主体能成为破解农地流转需求困境,进而提高农业生产率和农户收入的有效抓手。
The current restriction of farmland transfer in China is not the shortage of supply but the lack of demand. Therefore, the key to further promote farmland transfer is to create effective demand. Using data from China Household Financial Survey(CHFS) in 2015,2017 and difference-in-differences(DID) estimation strategy, this paper studies whether new agricultural operators can be the demand driver of farmland transfer. We find that new agricultural operators can not only pull smallholders to rent out land through their own demand directly, but drive farmland transfer among smallholders by promoting agricultural investment indirectly. However, smallholders’ farmland transfer decision depends on the comparative return of farming. In non-plain areas, the comparative return of farming is low, and the direct pulling effect is the main force, while in plain areas, indirect driving effect plays a major role since comparative return of farming is high.Among all kinds of new agricultural operators, family farms and specialized farms have significant pulling effect due to their large demand of land, and the mutual aid characteristics of agricultural cooperatives can promote farmland transfer among smallholders, while agricultural enterprises have not had significant effect yet. Finally, we find that new agricultural operators can increase overall farmland utilization, agricultural output and farmers’ income. This study shows that developing new agricultural operators can be an effective way to solve the demand dilemma of farmland transfer.
作者
李江一
秦范
Li Jiangyi;Qin Fan(School of Economics,Sichuan University;School of Economics,Peking University)
出处
《管理世界》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第2期84-99,共16页
Journal of Management World
基金
国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(71903140)
教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(18YJC790081)
四川大学“从0到1”创新研究项目(2021CXC12)的资助。
关键词
新型农业经营主体
农地流转
比较收益
双重差分模型
new agricultural operators
farmland transfer
comparative return
difference-in-differences
