摘要
中欧班列已成为我国与“一带一路”沿线国家经贸往来与物资交流的重要媒介,研究进出口货物品类结构与中欧班列运输组织间的关系,对于优化中欧班列的开行与货源组织显得尤为关键。在阐述中欧班列运营现状及货源结构的基础上,通过聚类分析法对进出口贸易结构进行分析,研究不同国家不同品类进出口货物的流量与流向,将其与中欧班列的运输组织现状进行对比。计算求得中欧班列开行与进出口贸易结构的相关性,并从货物品类、班列运行、运输需求、集结方式等角度分析了中欧班列去回程运输组织模式,以期提供市场决策依据。
China-Europe Railway Express has become an important medium for economic and trade exchanges and material exchange between China and countries along“the Belt and Road”.It is especially crucial to study the relationship between the category structure of import and export goods and the transportation organization of the China-Europe Railway Express for the optimization of China-Europe Railway Express operation and cargo source organization.After introducing the current operation status and cargo source structure of the China-Europe Railway Express,this paper analyzed the import and export trade structure by cluster analysis method and studied the flow and direction of different categories of import and export goods of different countries.Further,the paper compared the clustering results and flow direction results with the current transportation organization of China-Europe Railway Express.It also quantitatively calculated the correlation between the China-Europe Railway Express operation and the import and export trade structure and analyzed the transportation organization of the departing and return China-Europe Railway Express from the perspectives of cargo category,train operation,transport demand and assembly mode.The research results can provide a basis for market decision.
作者
董宇轩
逯红兵
金锋
张琦
DONG Yuxuan;LU Hongbing;JIN Feng;ZHANG Qi(School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Line Transportation Institute,China Railway First Survey and Design Institute Group Co.,Ltd.,Xi’an 710043,Shaanxi,China;Textbook Publishing Center,China Railway Publishing House Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100054,China)
出处
《铁道货运》
2022年第2期11-16,共6页
Railway Freight Transport
基金
国家重点研发计划(2016YFE0201700)
中铁第一勘察设计院集团有限公司项目(T21L00240)。
关键词
货物品类
进出口贸易
中欧班列
聚类分析法
相关性分析
Goods Category
Import and Export Trade
China-Europe Railway Express
Cluster Analysis Method
Correlation Analysis
