摘要
以南疆5地州的农村地区为研究对象,选取2009—2019年面板数据,探究南疆各地州农村人口老龄化对农业经济增长的影响。结果表明:南疆各地区农村人口老龄化水平在不断加深的同时,各地区间的老龄化水平也发展不均衡;从影响农业经济发展的因素来看,农村人口老龄化、农业劳动力供给数量、资本投入和农业技术水平都有利于农业经济的发展;对农业经济具有显著正向影响的2个因素是农作物播种面积和农业技术水平。在此基础上结合南疆实际给出了相应的政策建议。
Taking the rural areas in the five prefectures of Southern Xinjiang as the research object,selecting panel data from 2009 to 2019,we explored the impact of the development of rural population aging on the agricultural economic growth in all prefectures of southern Xinjiang.The results showed that the aging level of rural population in southern Xinjiang is not balanced while the aging level of rural population is deepening.From the perspective of the factors affecting the development of agricultural economy,the aging of rural population,agricultural labor supply quantity,capital input and agricultural technology level are all conducive to the development of agricultural economy.Two factors that have a significant positive impact on agricultural economy are crop sown area and agricultural technology level.Finally,some policy suggestions are given on this basis.
作者
张金蒙
晁伟鹏
高一搏
王烨辉
ZHANG Jin-meng;CHAO Wei-peng;GAO Yi-bo(College of Economics and Management,Tarim University,Alar,Xinjiang 843300)
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
2022年第7期219-222,共4页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词
人口老龄化
农业经济增长
面板模型
C-D生产函数
Population aging
Agricultural economic growth
Panel model
C-D production function