摘要
研究目的:探究宅基地退出在脆弱性视角下的减贫效应,厘清宅基地退出对农户贫困脆弱性的作用路径。研究方法:基于2019年安徽金寨的微观调研数据,构建广义可行最小二乘法模型,基于期望贫困对农户家庭贫困脆弱性进行测度,采用倾向得分匹配法检验宅基地退出的减贫效应,运用中介效应模型分析宅基地退出影响贫困脆弱性的传导机制。研究结果:(1)在现行贫困标准下,有18.66%的农户面临未来陷入贫困的风险;(2)宅基地退出具有显著减贫效应,能够有效降低农户未来陷入贫困的概率,通过PSM方法消除“自选择”偏误后结果依然稳健;(3)宅基地退出通过增加农户生计资本和改善生计策略来降低贫困脆弱性。研究结论:未来应进一步深化宅基地制度改革,完善宅基地退出与扶贫的联动机制,改进返贫预警的识别机制。
The purposes of this study are to measure the poverty reduction effect of rural residential land withdrawal from the perspective of vulnerability,and to clarify the path of impact of rural residential land withdrawal on the poverty vulnerability of farmers.The methods are to construct a generalized feasible least squares model,to measure the poverty vulnerability of farmers according to expected poverty,to use propensity score matching to test the poverty reduction effect of rural residential land withdrawal,and to use an intermediary effect model to analyze the role of the rural residential land withdrawal affecting poverty vulnerability,based on the micro survey data of Jinzhai,Anhui Province in 2019.The research results show that:1)under the current rural poverty standards,18.66%of farmers face the risk of falling into poverty in the future.2)The withdrawal of rural residential land has a significant poverty reduction effect,which can effectively reduce the probability of farmers falling into poverty in the future.And the results are also stable after eliminating“self-selection”effect through the PSM method.3)Rural residential land withdrawal reduces poverty vulnerability by increasing farmers’physical capital to accumulate livelihood capital and promoting farmers’transfer to non-agricultural industries to improve their livelihood strategies.In conclusion,it suggests to deepen the reform of the rural residential land system,to improve the linkage mechanism between rural residential land withdrawal and poverty alleviation,and to improve the identification mechanism for early warning of returning to poverty.
作者
闫啸
李录堂
李晗
YAN Xiao;LI Lutang;LI Han(College of Economics and Management,Northwest A&F University,Yangling 712100,China)
出处
《中国土地科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第4期38-48,共11页
China Land Science
基金
陕西省财政厅项目“农村管理信息系统研究与开发”(K336020905)。
关键词
土地经济
宅基地退出
贫困脆弱性
倾向得分匹配
减贫效应
land economy
rural residential land withdrawal
poverty vulnerability
propensity score matching
poverty reduction effect
