摘要
研究是在VAR模型的基础上,以四川省的林下经济为研究对象,运用脉冲响应模型和方差分解分析林下经济投资对上述三者都有正向带动作用,且在短期内对三者带动作用都较为显著;在长期内对森林旅游与休闲服务产业仍存在带动作用,对林下经济、动物繁育和利用产业的带动作用趋于0。林下经济投资对他们的解释能力都较高,对动物繁育和利用产业的解释程度最强,对其他产业的解释程度在长期内相近。结合四川省林下经济投资现状及实证结果,提出三点建议:①完善政策体系、加大金融支持力度;②加快发展第二产业,推进产品精深加工;③科学发展养殖产业,打造特色品牌。
By taking Sichuan Province as the research subject and based on the VAR model,this paper used impulse response model and variance decomposition to analyze the dynamic driving effect of under-forestry economic investment on under-forestry economic output value,animal breeding and utilization industry,forest tourism and leisure service industry.The research showed that the under-forestry economic investment had a positive driving effect on the above three,and the action is significant in the short term.In the long term,the driving effect on forest tourism and leisure service industry still existed,but the driving effect on under-forestry economy,animal breeding and utilization industry tended to be 0.The under-forestry economic investment had a high explanatory ability for them industry.The explanatory degree for other industries is similar in the long run.Combined with the current situation and empirical results of under-forestry economic investment in Sichuan Province,this paper puts forward three suggestions:①Improve the policy system and increase financial support;②Accelerate the development of secondary industry and promote the intensive processing of products.③Scientifically develop the breeding industry and build a characteristic brand.
作者
李美燕
李哥
夏堙湄
徐湘鸿
陆萍(指导)
LI Mei-yan;LI Ge;XIA Yin-mei;XU Xiang-hong(College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037,China)
出处
《中国林业经济》
2022年第4期44-48,共5页
China Forestry Economics
基金
南京林业大学大学生创新训练项目“凉山彝族自治州林下经济发展现状及其对策研究”(2021NFUSPITP0132)。
关键词
林下经济
四川省
VAR模型
Under-forest economy
Sichuan Province
VAR model
