摘要
测算并分析北京市2005-2020年能源碳排放,运用LMDI法将北京市与能源有关的碳排放量分解为以下7个影响因子:能源价格、能耗强度、能源结构、产业结构、经济发展规模、人均收入和常住人口规模,并进行了定量分析。结果表明,2008-2020年北京市第三产业碳排放占比最大,电力消费产生的碳排放在逐渐增加。促使碳排放量减少的因素:能耗强度、能源结构、能源价格和产业结构,能耗强度的降低是促使碳排放量减少的最主要因素,对碳排放量减少的贡献率为1078.7%。导致碳排放量增加的因素为经济发展规模、人均收入和常住人口规模,经济发展是导致碳排放量增加的最主要因素,对碳排放量增加的贡献率为1197.6%。研究结果可为北京市制定碳减排政策提供理论参考。
Based on the calculation and analysis of energy carbon emissions in Beijing from 2005 to 2020, the energy related carbon emissions in Beijing are divided into the following seven influencing factors by using LMDI method: energy price, energy consumption intensity, energy structure, industrial structure, economic development scale, per capita income and permanent population scale, analyzing quantitatively. The results show that from 2008 to 2020, Beijing carbon emissions of the tertiary industry accounted for the largest, and the carbon emissions of electricity consumption is gradually increasing. The factors contributing to the reduction of carbon emissions are as following: energy consumption intensity, energy structure, energy price and industrial structure. The reduction of energy consumption intensity is the most important factor contributing to the reduction of carbon emissions, with a contribution rate of 1078.7%. The factors leading to the increase of carbon emissions areas following: the scale of economic development, per capita income and the scale of permanent population. Economic development is the most important factor leading to the increase of carbon emissions, with a contribution rate of 1197.6%. The research results can provide a theoretical reference for Beijing to formulate carbon emission reduction policies.
作者
薛悦鑫
谢静超
怀超平
李航
刘加平
XUE Yue-xin;XIE Jing-chao;HUAI Chao-ping;LI Hang;LIU Jia-ping(Beijing Key Laboratory of Green Built Environment and Energy Efficient to Technology,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China;Beijing Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Centre,Beijing 101160,China)
出处
《建筑节能（中英文）》
CAS
2022年第9期128-132,共5页
Building Energy Efficiency
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目:热-湿-盐多强场耦合作用下海岛建筑表面换热系数研究(52178061)。
