摘要
文章基于1999—2020年我国沿海地区的面板数据,在建立面板向量自回归模型(PVAR)的基础上,运用脉冲响应函数和方差分解等方法,从金融发展规模、效率和结构3个方面,分析金融发展对沿海地区海洋经济增长的影响及其动态关系。研究结果表明:在短期内,金融发展规模会对海洋经济增长产生促进作用,但在长期内可能会制约海洋经济增长;金融发展效率会促进海洋经济增长,并在长期成为主要的影响因素;金融发展结构对海洋经济增长具有促进作用,但持续期较短。因此,海洋经济增长离不开金融有力的支持,应合理控制金融发展规模、提高金融发展效率和优化金融发展结构,为海洋经济增长提供长效支撑,推动海洋经济可持续增长。
Based on the panel data of China′s areas from 1999 to 2020, this paper established a PVAR model, employed impulse response analysis and variance decomposition to analyze the impact of financial development on marine economic growth and the dynamic relationship between each other from the perspective of financial scale, structure and efficiency. The research results showed that, the financial scale had a short-term positive impact effect on marine economic growth, but might restrict the development of marine economy in the long-term. The development of financial efficiency has a long-term positive impact effect on marine economic growth. The financial structure could promote the growth of marine economy, but the shortest duration. Therefore, marine economic growth needed strong financial support. It is necessary to reasonably control the financial scale, improve the financial efficiency, optimize the financial structure, provide long-term support for the development of marine economy, and promote the sustainable growth of marine economy.
作者
徐伟呈
李佳慧
XU Weicheng;LI Jiahui(School of Economics,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China;Institute of Marine Development,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)
出处
《海洋开发与管理》
2022年第10期3-10,共8页
Ocean Development and Management
基金
青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目(QDSKL2101029)
山东省社会科学规划基金项目(17DJJJ01)
国家社会科学基金项目(18CJY008)。
关键词
金融发展规模
金融发展效率
金融发展结构
海洋经济
海洋产业
Financial development scale
Financial development efficiency
Financial development structure
Marine economy
Marine industry
