摘要
【目的】中国绝大多数的农业经营主体都是小农户,探究小农户参与现代农林业的关键影响因素,为中国农林业现代化发展和推动乡村振兴提供有价值的借鉴。【方法】从有限理性理论视角切入,整合区间二型模糊集(IT2FS)与决策试验和评价实验室(DEMATEL)两种方法,辅以问卷调查,围绕小农户、物质条件与社会环境三个维度,提出小农户参与现代农林业生产关键影响因素识别的IT2FS-DEMATEL分析框架,定量计算15个影响因素的原因度与中心度,并归纳总结原因因素、结果因素和核心因素。【结果】1)互联网普及率(C_(6))、土地规模(C_(8))和地方财政支农力度(C_(13))共3个指标不仅是系统中的核心因素,对小农户参与现代农林业生产行为至关重要,而且是原因组中关键影响因素,极易对系统中其他因素产生影响;2)农林业机械化水平(C_(9))、农林业生产托管服务(C_(11))和农产品产销服务(C_(12))共3个指标为结果组中的关键影响因素,在系统中容易受到其他因素的影响。【结论】从长远看,原因因素组关键影响因素应优先给予重视,从短期看,结果因素组关键影响因素应给予重点激励改进,并建议动员多方共同努力,通过培育高素质农民、推动数字乡村建设、创新农林业生产技术、完善社会化服务体系、强化灾害预警体系和加大政策支农力度等措施推动小农户与现代农林业发展有效衔接。
【Objective】The vast majority of agricultural management entities in China are small farmers.This article aimed to explore the key influencing factors of small farmers’participation in modern agriculture and forestry,to provide valuable references for the modernization of China’s agriculture and forestry development and the promotion of rural revitalization.【Method】From the perspective of bounded rationality theory,the two methods of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Set(IT2FS)and Decision-making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory(DEMATEL)were integrated and supplemented by a questionnaire survey.Focusing on three dimensions of small farmers,material conditions and social environment,this article proposed the IT2FS-DEMATEL analysis framework for the identification of key factors influencing small farmers’participation in modern agricultural and forestry production,quantitatively calculated the causal degree and centrality of 15 influencing factors,and summarized the causal factors,result factors and core factors.【Result】1)The three indicators of Internet penetration rate(C_(6)),land scale(C_(8))and local financial support for agriculture(C_(13))are not only the core factors in the system,but also crucial for small farmers to participate in modern agricultural and forestry production behaviors.In addition,they are the key influencing factors in the cause group,which can easily affect other factors in the system.2)The three indicators of the level of agricultural and forestry mechanization(C_(9)),agricultural and forestry production trusteeship services(C_(11))and production and marketing services of agricultural products(C12)are the key influencing factors in the result group,which are susceptible to other factors in the system.【Conclusion】In the long term,the key influencing factors of the causal factor group should be given priority attention.In the short term,the key influencing factors of the result factor group should be given key incentives for improvement.It is also suggested to mobilize the joint efforts of various parties to promote the effective connection between small farmers and the development of modern agriculture and forestry through measurements such as cultivating high-quality farmers,promoting the construction of digital villages,innovative agricultural and forestry production technology,improving the socialized service system,strengthening the disaster warning system and increasing policy support for agriculture.
作者
周妮笛
舒澍成
肖腊梅
ZHOU Nidi;SHU Shucheng;XIAO Lamei(School of Business,Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,Hunan,China)
出处
《中南林业科技大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第11期196-208,共13页
Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology
基金
湖南省社会科学基金项目“‘互联网+’背景下小农户与现代农业发展有机衔接机制研究”(18YBA224)。
