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新时代乡村振兴背景下农村劳动力稳岗就业研究——基于Heckman两阶段模型的实证分析 被引量:5

Research on Steady Employment of Rural Labor Force under the Background of Rural Revitalization in the New Era:An Empirical Analysis’s based on the Heckman Two-stage Model
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摘要 基于中国劳动力动态调查数据,运用Heckman两阶段模型分析农村劳动力进城务工决策和稳岗就业的影响因素。研究结果表明:男性农村劳动力更容易做出进城务工的决策;年龄与进城务工决策负相关,与稳岗就业正相关;学历、月收入、工作经历、技术培训、工作环境、参保情况与进城务工决策和稳岗就业呈正相关关系;与原居住地联系会对进城务工决策和稳岗就业情况产生负向影响;社区/生活区安全情况显著影响农村劳动力的就业稳定性;社会资本相关变量正向影响农村劳动力的就业稳定性;外出务工预期与进城务工决策呈现显著正相关关系。除此之外,从事农业生产年限不同的农村劳动力进城务工决策和稳岗就业的影响因素存在差别。 Based on the dynamic survey data of China’s labor force,the Heckman two-stage model was used to analyze the influencing factors of rural labor force’s decision to work in cities and stable employment.The results show that male rural laborers are more likely to make the decision to work in cities;The influence of age on the decision to work in cities is negatively correlated,while the influence on the stable employment is positively correlated. Educational background,monthly income,work experience,technical training,working environment and insurance participation are positively correlated with the decision to work in cities and the steady employment.The relationship of the original place of residence will have a negative impact on the decision of migrant workers and the stable employment situation.The security of community/living area significantly affects the employment stability of rural labor force.Social resource related variables positively affect employment stability;There is a significant positive correlation between the expected variable of migrant workers and the decision of migrant workers in cities.In addition,there are differences in the influencing factors of rural labor force with different years of working in agriculture.
作者 赵亮 ZHAO Liang(School of Marxism,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110169,China)
出处 《经济问题》 CSSCI 北大核心 2023年第1期96-104,共9页 On Economic Problems
基金 国家社会科学基金重点项目“全面建成小康社会的世界意义研究”(21AZD001)。
关键词 新时代 乡村振兴 农村劳动力 稳岗就业 Heckman两阶段模型 new era rural revitalization rural labor force stabilizing employment Heckman two-stage model
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