摘要
极端灾害频发,城市电网韧性重要性日趋凸显。而在碳中和政策背景下,城市电网的低碳化转型将影响电网韧性发展。使用演化博弈理论对低碳城市电网的长期韧性仿真方法进行研究,建立电网韧性演化仿真模型。该模型考虑居民安装光储系统以及电网韧性升级决策,并基于仿真模型分析演化博弈均衡结果。建立考虑灾害随机性的韧性演化仿真模型。对上述模型进行仿真验证,仿真结果可以为低碳城市电网韧性发展决策提供参考。
Because of the more frequent extreme disasters, the resilience of urban grid becomes more important. In the background of carbon neutralization policy, the decarbonization transition of urban grid also affects the development of grid resilience. An evolutionary game is used to simulate the resilience evolution of low-carbon urban grid and the evolution model is constructed. The decision to install photovoltaic and energy storage system for residents and to upgrade the grid for resilience is considered in the model and the stability conditions of equilibriums of the evolutionary game are analyzed. The resilience evolution simulation model considering disaster stochasticity is constructed and verified. The results can provide decision reference for the low-carbon urban grid resilience development.
作者
崔正达
姚维强
徐琴
方陈
陈颖
Cui Zhengda;Yao Weiqiang;Xu Qin;Fang Chen;Chen Ying(Department of Electrical Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;State Grid Shanghai Municipal Electric Power Company,Shanghai 200122,China)
出处
《系统仿真学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第12期2595-2604,共10页
Journal of System Simulation
基金
上海科技委碳达峰
碳中和专项(21DZ1208300)。
关键词
低碳电网
韧性
光储系统
演化博弈
演化均衡策略
low-carbon grid
resilience
photovoltaic and battery energy storage system
evolutionary game
evolutionarily stable strategy
