摘要
近年来,土耳其在购买俄罗斯“S-400”导弹系统、在叙利亚的军事行动、围绕东地中海油气资源的开发等问题上都与北约盟友激烈对立,引发盟友对其北约身份的质疑。2022年乌克兰危机升级,再次引发了土耳其作为北约成员国资格的讨论。土耳其与北约之间的这些矛盾可以追溯到20世纪60年代,其核心是土耳其认为北约的“集体威慢”并不能给自己带来安全保障,土耳其的国家利益与北约联盟的利益并不处在同一轨道上。冷战结束后,当年迫使土耳其加入北约的地缘政治环境正在加速变化,北约联盟新的集体威慢对象也变成了所谓“恐怖主义”。但在应对全球及地区恐怖主义威胁时,土耳其的国家安全利益与美国及北约的联盟利益形成了根本对立,土耳其成为令北约“头疼的伙伴”。究竟土耳其是否继续留在北约联盟,以及北约是否继续容纳土耳其,既要看土耳其的外交战略选择,又要看国际地缘政治格局的变化,更要依赖彼此间的分歧管控智慧。
In recent years,Turkiye's purchase of the Russian“S-400”air defense system,its military operations in Syria,and its claims over the hydrocarbon resources in the Eastern Mediterranean region are all opposite to NATO,and this has raised doubts about Turkiye's NATO identity.The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict has once again triggered discussions on Turkiye's eligibility as a member of NATO.These contradictions between Turkiye and NATO can be traced back to the 196Os.The core of these tensions is that Turkiye believes that NATO's“collective deterrence”cannot bring security to itself.Turkiye's national interests and those of the NATO alliance are not on the same track.Since the end of the Cold War,the geopolitical environment that forced Tuirkiye to join NATO has been changing substantially,and the new collective deterrent object of the NATO alliance has shifted to so-called“terrorism”.However,when dealing with global and regional terrorist threats,Turkiye's national security interests are fundamentally opposed to the interests of the United States and NATO alliance.Tuirkiye has become a“troubled partner”of NATO.Whether Turkiye will remain in the NATO alliance and whether NATO will continue to accommodate Turkiye depends not only on Turkiye's diplomatic strategic policies,but also on the changes in the international geopolitical pattern,and more importantly,on the wisdom of managing and controlling differences between them.
作者
郭长刚
梁莹莹
Guo Changgang;Liang Yingying
出处
《西亚非洲》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第1期110-130,159,160,共23页
West Asia and Africa
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“土耳其内政外交政策与‘一带一路’战略研究”(17JZD036)的阶段性成果。
