摘要
美国提出“印太战略”后,韩国对“印太战略”的态度经历了文在寅政府时期“谨慎且有限地参与”以及尹锡悦政府时期“积极地调适型参与”两个阶段。尹锡悦政府执政后转变对“印太战略”的态度,主要包含对朝鲜实施安全威慑以推动朝鲜半岛无核化进程、以加入“印太战略”为杠杆重塑中韩关系从而缓解安全困境、推广“韩式民主价值观外交”以提升韩国在地区秩序中的地位以及推进“东盟政策”以寻求经济新增长点四大考量。从短期看,这一转变将激化朝韩矛盾,加剧地区紧张;提升“印太战略”的经济吸引力,对“一带一路”倡议形成挤出效应;强化“印太战略”的“去中心化”特征,在地区秩序构建上增大对中国的压力。但从长期看,由于尹锡悦政府并未脱离“立足国家利益制定外交战略”的原则,仍具备“底线理性”,加之“印太战略”无法有效满足韩国的经济、安全与战略诉求,韩国缺乏持续参与“印太战略”的动力,其负面影响总体可控。
After the United States proposed the"Indo-Pacific Strategy",Republic of Korea’s attitude toward the Indo-Pacific strategy went through two stages:"cautious and limited participation"under the Moon Jae-in administration and"active and adaptive participation"under the Yoon Seok-Youl administration.The Yoon Seok-Youl government’s attitude change mainly includes four considerations:to carry out security deterrence against the DPRK,to promote the denuclearization process of the peninsula,to join the"Indo-Pacific strategy"as a lever to reshape China-ROK relations to ease the security dilemma,to promote the"Korean-style democratic values diplomacy"to enhance Korea’s status in the regional order,and to promote the"ASEAN policy"to seek new economic growth points.In the short term,this shift will intensify the inter-Korean conflict and increase regional tension,enhance the economic attractiveness of the"Indo-Pacific Strategy"and crowd out the Belt and Road Initiative,strengthen the"decentralized"feature of the"Indo-Pacific Strategy"and increase the pressure on China in the construction of regional order.However,in the long run,the Yoon Seok-Youl administration has not deviated from the principle of"formulating diplomatic strategy based on national interests"and still possesses"bottom line rationality".Moreover,the"Indo-Pacific Strategy"cannot effectively meet the economic,security,and strategic demands of Korea,which lacks the motivation to continuously participate in the"Indo-Pacific Strategy",and its negative impact is generally controllable.
作者
朱旭
韩文超
ZHU Xu;HAN Wen-chao
出处
《东北亚论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第2期115-126,128,共13页
Northeast Asia Forum
基金
国家社科基金青年项目(18CGJ012)。
关键词
“印太战略”
朝鲜半岛无核化
“印太经济框架”
积极的调适型参与
“东盟政策”
Indo-Pacific Strategy
Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula
Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
Active Adaptive Participation
"ASEAN Policy"
