摘要
环境规制作为实现旅游低碳发展的重要动力之一,也是实现旅游业“碳达峰、碳中和”目标的有效路径。基于综合指数法和“自下而上”法,测度2005—2019年中国内地30个省份(中国港澳台及西藏统计数据尚缺)的环境规制水平和旅游业碳排放强度,并借助面板回归模型和面板门槛模型探讨了环境规制对旅游业碳排放强度的影响及其区域异质性。结果表明:(1)研究期内,中国整体旅游业碳排放强度呈下降趋势;其中,中部地区下降趋势最为明显,其次分别为西部、东部和东北地区。(2)中国环境规制水平呈增长态势,其规制效应对胡焕庸线右侧的地区更为显著,并呈现出自东向西递减的梯度分布特征。(3)中国环境规制对旅游业碳排放强度存在明显的“倒逼减排”效应,但东北地区却存在一定的“绿色悖论”现象;环境规制对旅游业碳排放强度的影响存在单一阈值,当旅游能源强度小于阈值时,存在显著的“倒逼减排”效应,当旅游能源强度超过阈值时则存在“绿色悖论”效应。(4)东部地区环境规制未通过门槛效应检验;中部地区存在单个门槛值,环境规制有效促进旅游业碳排放强度的下降,不存在“绿色悖论”现象;西部和东北地区分别存在单、双门槛效应,环境规制对旅游业碳排放强度先促进后抑制。
Environmental regulation, as one of the important driving forces to achieve low-carbon development of tourism, is also an effective way to achieve the goal of “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality” of tourism. Based on the comprehensive index method and bottom-up method, this paper measured the environmental regulation level and tourism carbon emission intensity of 30 provinces in the Chinese mainland from 2005 to 2019, and discussed the impact of environmental regulation on tourism carbon emission intensity and its regional heterogeneity with the help of panel regression model and panel threshold model. The results show that:(1)During the study period, the carbon emission intensity of China′s overall tourism industry showed a downward trend;Among them, the central region has the most obvious downward trend, followed by the western, eastern and northeastern regions.(2)The level of environmental regulation in China shows an increasing trend, and its regulation effect is more significant in the area on the right side of Hu Huanyong Line, showing a gradient distribution characteristic of decreasing from east to west.(3) The environmental regulation has obvious “forced emission reduction” effect on the carbon emission intensity of tourism, but there is a certain “green paradox” phenomenon in the Northeast China;There is a single threshold for the impact of environmental regulation on the carbon emission intensity of tourism. When the tourism energy intensity is less than the threshold, there is a significant “forced emission reduction” effect, while when the tourism energy intensity exceeds the threshold, there is a “green paradox” effect.(4)The environmental regulation in the eastern region failed to pass the threshold effect test;There is a single threshold value in the central region, and the environmental regulation effectively promotes the decline of carbon emission intensity of tourism, and there is no “green paradox” phenomenon;There are single and double threshold effects in western China and northeast China respectively, and the environmental regulation first promotes and then inhibits the carbon emission intensity of tourism.
作者
李智慧
王凯
徐丽萍
LI Zhihui;WANG Kai;XU Liping(College of Science,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832000,China;Tourism College of Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China;Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps Key Laboratory of Oasis Town and Mountain-basin System Ecology,Shihezi 832000,China)
出处
《生态学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第5期2128-2140,共13页
Acta Ecologica Sinica
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(21CGL008)
兵团社会科学基金项目(20YB09)
兵团自然科学基金项目(31760151)
湖南省自然科学基金项目(2022JJ30392)。
关键词
环境规制
旅游业碳排放强度
空间异质性
面板门槛回归
environmental regulation
carbon emission intensity of tourism
spatial heterogeneity
panel threshold regression
