摘要
2023年以来,全球经济不确定性增强,增长速度放慢,通胀有所缓和但仍处高位,美欧货币紧缩引致金融脆弱性加剧,相继爆发多起金融风险事件。2023年第一季度,中国经济总体复苏的态势基本明朗,供需双侧企稳回升,但细分领域仍存在明显的结构性差异,劳动力市场总量和结构性矛盾并存,青年群体稳就业压力较大。建议一方面着眼于短期视角,加大宏观政策调控力度,加快扩大内需政策落地生效,强化就业优先导向,全面巩固增长回升势头,推动经济运行整体好转;另一方面着眼于中长期,利用好中国经济复苏而全球经济增速放缓的窗口期,深化重点领域改革,以稳外资为重点进一步扩大高水平对外开放,同时紧抓新一代人工智能发展机遇,激发创新主体活力。
Since 2023,global economic uncertainty has intensified,growth has slowed down,inflation has eased but remains high,and monetary tightening in the United States and Europe has led to increased financial vulnerability,resulting in multiple financial risk events.In the first quarter of 2023,the overall recovery trend of China's economy is basically clear,with both supply and demand stabilizing and rebounding.However,there are still significant structural differences in the segmented fields.The total amount of labor market and structural contradictions coexist,and the pressure on young people to stabilize employment is relatively high.On the one hand,it is recommended to focus on a short-term perspective,increase macroeconomic policy regulation,accelerate the implementation and effectiveness of policies to expand domestic demand,strengthen employment priority guidance,comprehensively consolidate the momentum of growth recovery,stabilize the momentum of economic recovery,and promote the overall improvement of economic operation.On the other hand,with a focus on the medium to long term,we should make good use of the window period of China's economic recovery while global economic growth slows down,deepen reforms in key areas,and further expand high-level opening-up with focusing on stabilizing foreign investment.At the same time,we should seize the development opportunities of the new generation of artificial intelligence and stimulate the vitality of innovative entities.
出处
《改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第4期26-36,共11页
Reform
关键词
经济发展
宏观经济
宏观经济政策调控
economic development
macroeconomics
macro economic policy regulation
