摘要
2020年前后中国成功解决了绝对贫困问题,为世界带来了宝贵的减贫经验。以1978-2018年《中国统计年鉴》的公开数据为样本,探究“新”整体性治理框架下农村居民消费、医疗卫生水平对减贫效果的影响。实证研究表明:农村居民人均消费支出可以解释减贫人数的80.8%变化原因,农村居民人均消费支出全部会对减贫人数产生显著的正向影响关系;总人口增长可对减贫人数产生15.1%的解释力度,总人口增长会对减贫人数产生显著的正向影响关系;劳动人口增加量可对减贫人数产生2.5%的解释力度,劳动人口增加量会对减贫人数产生显著的负向影响关系;绝对贫困线计算的贫困发生率可对减贫人数产生1.5%的解释力度,绝对贫困线计算的贫困发生率会对减贫人数产生显著的负向影响关系;卫生技术人员数的回归系数值为-0.005,并且呈现出显著性,卫生技术人员数会对减贫人数产生显著的负向影响关系。基于此,研究建议:进一步释放农村居民人均消费能力,增加农村居民减贫人数,实现乡村振兴;降低劳动人口增加量,尤其是从事第一产业劳动的比重,拓宽农村低收入人口就业面;提高医疗卫生实际水平,减少单位卫生技术人员数,帮扶和救助低收入人群。
China has successfully solved the problem of absolute poverty around 2020,bringing valuable experience in poverty re⁃duction to the world.The study uses the public data of the"China Statistical Yearbook"from 1978 to 2018 as a sample to explore the effect of rural residents'consumption and medical and health levels on the poverty reduction under the"new"overall gover⁃nance framework.Empirical research shows that:(1)the per capita consumption expenditure of rural residents can explain 80.8%and have a significant positive impact on the number of poverty reduction;(2)the increase in the total population has an explanatory power of 15.1%and have a significant positive impact on the number of people in poverty reduction;(3)The in⁃crease in the labor force can have a 2.5%explanation force and have a significant positive impact on the number of people in pov⁃erty reduction.(4)The poverty incidence rate calculated by the absolute poverty line can explain 1.5%,and have a significant ef⁃fect on the number of people in poverty reduction.(5)The regression coefficient value of the number of health technicians is-0.005,and the number of health technicians have a significant negative impact on the number of poverty reduction.It proposes releasing the per capita consumption power of rural residents and increasing the number of rural poverty-reduced residents to achieve rural revitalization;reducing the increase in the labor force,especially the proportion of labor in the primary industry,and expanding rural low-income population employment;improving the actual level of medical and health care to reduce the number of health technicians and help low-income people.
作者
王磊
WANG Lei(School of International Affairs and Public Administration,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)
出处
《山西农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2023年第3期87-95,共9页
Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University:Social Science Edition
关键词
消费
医疗卫生
减贫
“新”整体性治理
Consumption
Health care
Poverty reduction
"New"holistic governance
