摘要
我国碳市场已进入第二履约周期运行,碳市场为火电企业增加碳排放成本项,以市场手段推进电力行业碳减排。文章构建了以火电系统成本优化为目标的电力系统模型,可以模拟碳市场的经济影响,是分析碳市场对系统运行影响的有效工具。采用自下而上编制的全国厂级火电碳清单,考虑全国各省尽量满足风光水核可发电量消纳的源网荷运行平衡,构建计及碳市场成本的全国电力系统模拟模型。模型可模拟得到当前碳配额规则下火电厂碳市场成本的区域分布,可模拟当前碳市场导致系统碳减排的效果。结果表明,当前碳市场强度配额机制可有效鼓励低煤耗火电机组多发,以经济手段推动火电机组组合优化,有效降低系统碳排放强度,促进全国电力系统碳减排。
Recently,China’s carbon market entered its second compliance cycle.The carbon market increases the carbon emission costs of thermal power enterprises to reduce carbon emissions in the power sector.A power system model aimed at optimizing system costs in the power sector is an effective means of simulating the economic impact of the carbon market.In this study,a national plant-level carbon inventory compiled from bottom up is adopted to develop a model of the national power system with carbon market costs,considering the power grid operation balance of all provinces in China under the condition of satisfying new energy consumption.The model can simulate both the regional distribution of carbon market costs of thermal power plants under the current carbon allowance allocation rules and the effect of the current carbon market,reducing carbon emissions in the system.The results show that the benchmark-based allowance allocation mechanism can effectively encourage low-carbon units to effectively generate more electricity,promote optimize the thermal power unit combination using economic means,reduce the emission intensity of the thermal power sector,and promote carbon emission reduction of the national power system.
作者
赵宏兴
肖建平
乔中鹏
冯田丰
刘潇
郭树森
王剑晓
ZHAO Hongxing;XIAO Jianping;QIAO Zhongpeng;FENG Tianfeng;LIU Xiao;GUO Shusen;WANG Jianxiao(National Energy Group Shared Service Center Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100011,China;National Institute of Clean-and-Low-Carbon Energy,Beijing 102211,China;National Engineering Laboratory for Big Data Analysis and Applications,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China)
出处
《电力建设》
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第7期50-56,共7页
Electric Power Construction
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(52277092)
国家能源集团科技项目“碳市场和电力市场相互作用推演模型技术开发”(ST930022016N)。
关键词
碳市场模型
火电碳清单
电力碳减排
全国电力系统模型
carbon market model
carbon inventory of thermal power
decarbonization of power sector
national power system model
