摘要
依据我国30个省(区、市)2015—2020年乡村物流相关面板数据,使用熵权法、泰尔指数、莫兰指数和空间计量模型分析了我国整体及各区域乡村物流发展水平的时空差异及影响因素。结果表明:(1)我国四大板块间的整体性空间差异不断缩小,但各板块内的差异逐渐扩大并成为发展差距变动的主导因素。(2)高度的空间自相关性呈现出低—低集聚和高—高集聚态势,地理因素和空间溢出效应对区域发展具有显著影响。(3)城镇化水平的正向影响最强,市场开放度主要对中、西部产生正向影响,经济发展水平和物流基础设施的空间溢出效应不够明显,他们与政府支持度和信息化程度一起影响着我国乡村物流的时空格局形成与演变。
Based on the relevant panel data of rural logistics in 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China from 2015 to 2020,this paper analyzes the spatial-temporal differences and influencing factors of the development level of rural logistics in China as a whole and in various regions by using the entropy weight method,Thiel index,Moran index and spatial econometric model.The results show that:(1)The overall spatial difference between the four major plates in China is shrinking,but the difference within each plate is gradually expanding and becoming the leading factor in the change of the development gap.(2)The high spatial autocorrelation shows the trend of low concentration and high concentration.Geographical factors and spatial spillover effects have a significant impact on regional development.(3)The level of urbanization has the strongest positive impact.The degree of market openness mainly has a positive impact on the central and western regions.The level of economic development and the spatial spillover effect of logistics infrastructure are not obvious enough.Together with the degree of government intervention and the degree of informatization,they affect the formation and evolution of the spatial and temporal pattern of rural logistics in China.
作者
王琴梅
郭哲宇
Wang Qinmei;Guo Zheyu(School of International Business,Shaanxi Normal University)
出处
《调研世界》
CSSCI
2023年第7期67-78,共12页
The World of Survey and Research
基金
陕西省社会科学基金项目“数字生产力与生产关系视角下数字技术推动陕西农业高质量发展研究”(2022D035)的资助。
关键词
乡村物流
四大板块
时空差异特征
影响因素
三大地带
Rural Logistics
Four Major Plates
Spatial-temporal difference Characteristics
Influencing Factors
Three Zones
