摘要
提高系统应对内外部冲击的能力,对区域经济的高质量发展具有重要意义。通过构建经济韧性指数,采用泰尔指数、空间冷热点分析、地理探测器等方法,对中国语境下区域经济韧性的时空关联特征及动态演化机制等进行了系统观测。结果发现:(1)1997—2020年我国区域经济韧性总体呈“W”型的动态波动上升轨迹,约65%的省区处于中等韧性状态,区域层面的非均衡特征渐趋强化,省际差异是经济韧性空间差异的主要构成;(2)区域经济韧性的空间相关性存在典型的阶段演变趋势,空间上经济韧性逐渐表现出由无到有且渐趋强化的正向集聚关联,局部相关的冷、热形态则受到冲击类型和范围等的直接影响表现出显著的省际异质性特征;(3)经济韧性的时空演变受到交互复杂因素的共同驱动,有效市场与有为政府协同主导的韧性演化格局逐步建立,地理区位等先天因素的导向作用渐趋多元,金融支撑和科技创新等是区域经济系统韧性提升的有效动能,城市发展和政府管理在作为主要路径的同时对多维联动效应的发生具有重要的基础保障作用。
Improving the ability of the economic system to respond to internal and external shocks is of great significance to the high-quality development of the regional economy.The spatiotemporal correlation characteristics and dynamic evolution mechanism of China's regional economic resilience from 1997 to 2020 were systematically observed in this study by constructing an economic resilience index and using Theil index,spatial analysis,geographic detectors and other methods.The results showed that:1)During the study period,China's regional economic resilience generally showed a Wshaped dynamic fluctuation and upward trajectory,about 65% of the provinces were in a state of moderate resilience,and the disequilibrium characteristics at the regional level were gradually strengthened.Inter-provincial differences were the main components of spatial differences in economic resilience.2)The spatial correlation of regional economic resilience had a typical evolutionary trend in stages,and economic resilience in space gradually showed a positive agglomeration correlation.The locally-related cold and hot spots patterns were directly affected by the type and scope of the shock,showing significant inter-provincial heterogeneity.3)The spatiotemporal evolution of economic resilience was driven by the common interactive complex factors,and the evolution pattern of resilience collaborative dominated by effective market and competent government was gradually established.The guiding role of innate factors such as geographic location was becoming more and more diverse.Financial support and technological innovation were effective drivers for the improvement of the regional economic system's risk adaptability.Urban development and government management were the main paths and played an important role in the occurrence of multi-dimensional linkage effects.
作者
蒋正云
刘庆芳
宋金平
JIANG Zhengyun;LIU Qingfang;SONG Jinping(Faculty of Geographical Science,Bejing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第6期1-12,共12页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42171170)。
关键词
经济韧性
高质量发展
区域协调
科技创新
金融支撑
economic resilience
high-quality development
regional coordination
technological innovation
financial support
