摘要
针对风险评价指标主客观赋权方法各自存在的局限性,以陆上油气钻井作业为例,在层次分析法和熵权法的基础上,提出博弈论组合法的风险评价指标赋权方法。结果表明,用博弈论组合法确定陆上油气钻井作业风险评价指标权重,能在相互竞争中得到相对均衡的结果,减少运用单一方法产生的偏差,提高评价结果的准确度。
Regarding the limitations of risk assessment indicators and subjective and objective weighting methods,taking onshore oil and gas drilling operations as an example,on the basis of the analytic hierachy process(AHP)and entropy method,a risk assess-ment index weighting method based on game theory combination method was proposed.The results showed that using the game theory combination meth-od to determine the weight of risk assessment indica-tors for onshore oil and gas drilling operations can get relatively balanced results in mutual competition,re-duce the deviation caused by a single method and im-prove the accuracy of evaluation results.
作者
杨杰
官臣彬
李朝辉
吴志怀
李千登
Yang Jie;Guan Chenbin;Li Zhaohui;Wu Zhihuai;Li Qiandeng(SINOPEC Research Institute of Safety Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Shandong,Qingdao,266104;SINOPEC North China Petroleum Engineering Co.,Ltd,Henan Drilling Branch,Henan,Nanyang,473132;SINOPEC Shengli Petroleum Engineering Co.,Ltd,Southwest Branch,Shandong,Dongying,257000)
出处
《安全、健康和环境》
2023年第8期44-49,共6页
Safety Health & Environment
基金
中国石化科技部课题(A-374),三高油气井重大风险识别与管控技术研究。
关键词
钻井作业
风险评价
指标权重
层次分析法
熵权法
博弈论组合法
drilling operation
risk assessment
in-dex weight
analytic hierarchy process
entropy weight method
game theory combination method
