摘要
近年来的舆论调查显示,韩国国内拥核的呼声很高,多达七成以上的人支持韩国独自进行核武装。这主要有两方面原因:一是应对来自朝鲜的威胁,二是对美国延伸威慑的不信任。同时,韩国自身也有试图研发核武器的历史,自20世纪70年代朴正熙总统时期开始,韩国就试图研发核武器。此后,通过不断试探,韩国掌握了相关的技术与原材料,理论上已经具备了制作核武器的能力。在现实主义理论脉络下,韩国很有可能最终走向独自开发核武或至少是重新部署美国核武器的道路,那时朝鲜半岛无核化很有可能无法实现,也会对东北亚地区的和平安全造成冲击。
Public opinion polls in recent years show that there are growing calls for nuclear weapons in South Korea and over 70 percent of the public support South Korea’s independent nuclear armament.Responding to the threat from North Korea and distrust of the US extended deterrence are the two main reasons for this phenomenon.Meanwhile,South Korea has its own history of making efforts to develop nuclear weapons since 1970s under President Park Chung-hee’s administration.Through continuous testing,South Korea has mastered the relevant technology and raw materials,and theoretically has the ability to produce nuclear weapons.In the context of realism theory,South Korea is likely to develop nuclear weapons independently,or at least redeploy US nuclear weapons.In that case,denuclearization on the Korean Peninsula may not be realized,which would have an impact on the peace and security in Northeast Asia.
出处
《延边大学学报(社会科学版)》
2023年第5期19-27,共9页
Journal of Yanbian University:Social Science Edition
关键词
韩国
延伸威慑
核武器
现实主义
South Korea
extended deterrence
nuclear weapons
realism