摘要
本文采用双重差分、三重差分和模糊断点回归的识别策略,将2015年北京非首都功能疏解作为一个自然实验研究了人口疏解政策对劳动力流动决策的影响效果。研究表明:政策干预降低了流动人口的主观留居意愿,但提高了疏解目标城市的工资效应,反而产生了集聚劳动力的净效应;人口疏解政策对劳动力市场的就业优势具有局部处理效应,当本地流动人口具有就业优势时,人口疏解政策有效性不高;人口疏解政策降低了流动人口在目标城市被疏解产业的就业比重,促使劳动力向城市内其他产业部门流动。
Taking the policy of relieving Beijing of nonessential functions to its role as the national capital in 2015 as a natural experiment,this paper studies the impact of the policy of population dispersal(PPD)on the decision of the labor migrants'mobility using the strategies of identification known as DID,DDD,and fuzzy RDD.It shows that PPD has reduced the subjective willingness to stay,but has improved the wage effect of the target city,and has a significant net effect on the agglomeration of labor.The effectiveness of PPD is closely related to the employment advantages of the local labor market.When local migrants have the employment advantages,the effectiveness of PPD is not high.Additionally,PPD reduces the proportion of migrants'employment in the industry of general service in the target city and promotes the flow of labor force to other industrial sectors in the same city.
作者
邓仲良
DENG Zhongliang(Faculty of Applied Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences;Institute of Population and Labor Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
出处
《中国人民大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第4期52-66,共15页
Journal of Renmin University of China
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“促进人口流动与城乡要素一体化协调的户籍制度改革研究”(21BJL090)阶段性成果。
