摘要
在脱贫攻坚全面胜利后,群众的精神脱贫问题成为防范返贫风险的新挑战。基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2014、2016、2018年三期微观调查数据,运用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)和条件Markov模型分析了精神贫困对个体返贫的影响。研究发现:精神贫困个体更易返贫;当存在风险冲击时,非精神贫困的个体不易返贫;当个体具有医疗保险或当地政府具有较高公信力时,精神贫困对于返贫的影响减弱,互联网的缓解作用不明显。相关部门应对精神贫困进行有效识别,积极做好引导工作,激发个体内生动力。同时,要加大对脱贫个体的医疗资源投入,健全公共服务体系,努力打造政府公信力,进而形成防范返贫的合力。
After the overall victory in poverty alleviation,the mental poverty of the people who have been lifted out of poverty has become a new challenge to prevent the risk of returning to poverty.Based on the three rounds of micro survey data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)from 2014 to 2018,the paper uses the propensity score matching(PSM)method and conditional Markov model to quantify the impact of mental poverty on poverty return under general scenarios and risk impact scenarios.The results show that mental poverty can lead to the phenomenon of returning to poverty,and most of the individuals who were slightly lifted out of poverty were transferred to shallow poverty.When the credibility is high,the impact of mental poverty on returning to poverty will be weakened,and the buffering effect of the internet on mental poverty will not be obvious.Therefore,the paper suggests that it is necessary to effectively identify mental poverty,actively do a good job of spiritual guidance,and stimulate the internal motivation of individuals.At the same time,we should increase the investment in medical resources for poverty alleviation individuals,improve the public service system,strive to build the credibility of the government,realize the anti-poverty synergy of internal development and external support.
作者
于小兵
吴雪婧
YU Xiaobing;WU Xuejing
出处
《阅江学刊》
2023年第5期95-108,171,172,共16页
Yuejiang Academic Journal
