摘要
为精准提高化工园区面对不确定性因素的抵御力、恢复力和适应力,以某化工园区为例,构建韧性评估模型。首先,基于公共安全三角形理论,构建以灾害扰动因子危险度、承灾体脆弱性和防灾减灾能力为准则的评估体系;然后,通过模糊区间打分与CRITIC法主客观结合赋予指标权重,并引入秩和比法(RSR)对加权后的指标要素分档排序处理,探究园区在抵抗灾害冲击时的韧性薄弱点;最后,根据秩和比分档结果划分总体韧性等级。结果表明:案例中,该化工园区整体韧性水平为3档,韧性水平较高,安全状态良好。文中构建的模型具有较好的科学性、有效性和准确性,有助于提高化工园区韧性水平,加强化工园区防灾减灾建设。
In order to accurately improve the resilience,recovery,and adaptability of a chemical industry park in the face of uncertainties,a chemical industry park was taken as an example to build a resilience assessment model.Firstly,based on the public safety triangle theory,an assessment system based on the risk of disaster disturbance factors,the vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies,and the ability of disaster prevention and mitigation was established.The index weight was given by the subjective and objective combination of fuzzy interval scoring and CRITIC method,and the RSR method was introduced to rank the weighted index elements,so as to explore the resilience and weak points of the park in the face of disaster impact.Finally,the overall resilience was graded according to the RSR method.The results show that the overall resilience level of the park is in the third grade.The resilience level is high,and the safety state is good.The proposed method is effective,accurate,and scientific,and it is helpful to improve the resilience level of chemical industry parks and strengthen the construction of disaster prevention and reduction of chemical industry parks.
作者
岳文静
袁必和
苏姝燕
杨曼
杨家祺
闻雪丽
YUE Wenjing;YUAN Bihe;SU Shuyan;YANG Man;YANG Jiaqi;WEN Xueli(School of Safety Science and Emergency Management,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430070,China;School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Hubei Polytechnic University,Huangshi Hubei 435000,China)
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第S01期58-63,共6页
China Safety Science Journal
基金
湖北省重点研发计划项目(2021BCA216)
贵州省省级科技计划项目(黔科合支撑〔2023〕一般186号)。
关键词
综合赋权
CRITIC法
秩和比法(RSR)
化工园区
韧性
integrated empowerment
CRITIC method
rank-sum ratio method(RSR)
chemical industry parks
resilience
