摘要
本文以中国2005—2020年30个省份环境规制影响碳排放为研究对象,探索“绿色悖论”的产生水平。研究发现,在直接效应模型下,环境规制可以分为三级门槛值;环境规制效益能促进碳减排;环境规制成本处于(0,0.003]和(0.0117,+∞)时,会产生“绿色悖论”效应。在间接效应模型下,环境规制具有双重门槛值,环境规制成本在能源消费结构的影响下存在“绿色悖论”,在(0,0.0003]范围内更加显著;环境规制成本在技术创新的影响下,处于(0.0004,+∞)的区间时,会存在“绿色悖论”效应。基于此,需要加大环境规制效益水平的提升,适度加强环境规制成本、优化能源消费结构,深化能源价格改革、提高技术创新效率,切勿盲目提高创新规模指标。
This article takes the impact of environmental regulations on carbon emissions in 30 provinces of China from 2005 to 2020 as the research object,exploring the level of the emergence of the“green paradox”.Research has found that under the direct effects model,environmental regulation can be divided into three levels of threshold values;Environmental regulation benefits can promote carbon reduction;When the cost of environmental regulation is between(0,0.003)and(0.0117,+∞),it will generate a“green paradox”effect.Under the indirect effects model,environmental regulation has a dual threshold value,and the cost of environmental regulation has a“green paradox”effect under the influence of energy consumption structure,which is more significant within the range of(0,0.0003].When the cost of environmental regulation is within the range of(0.0004,+∞)under the influence of technological innovation,there will be a“green paradox”effect.Based on this,it is necessary to increase the level of environmental regulation efficiency,moderately strengthen environmental regulation costs,optimize energy consumption structure,deepen energy price reform,improve technological innovation efficiency,and not blindly increase innovation scale indicators.
作者
马姚
刘宇桦
MA Yao;LIU Yu-hua(Zijin College,Nanjing University of Technology,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu)
出处
《江苏商论》
2024年第1期129-136,共8页
Jiangsu Commercial Forum
基金
江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2022)--“‘绿色悖论’下环境规制对碳排放的影响研究”(项目编号:2022SJYB0729)。
关键词
绿色悖论
环境规制
双重门槛模型
Green paradox
Environmental regulations
Double threshold model
