摘要
基于2011—2018年中国流动人口动态监测调查(CMDS)数据,本文证实了城市昂贵的住房成本会增加流动人口子女成为留守儿童的可能性,且这一影响在处理内生性之后,以及一系列稳健性检验中仍然成立。机制分析表明,高房价会增加流动人口的生活成本和工作时间,使得流动人口将子女留守在家;但是城市优质的教育和医疗等公共服务资源可以在一定程度上缓解高房价的负面影响。异质性分析结果表明,低收入、低经济地位、低教育水平的农村户籍流动人口对于子女是否留守的决策更容易受到城市房价的影响;在户籍制度更严格的地区这种影响也更明显。研究结论揭示了造成留守儿童的一个重要动因,在追求城乡协调高质量发展的大目标下,为决策者制定城市社会保障政策提供了决策依据。
Using data originating from China Migrant Dynamic Survey(CMDS)from 2011 to 2018,this study confirms that the high housing cost in cities increases the probability of the migrants children becoming left-behind children.This effect remains significant even after addressing endogeneity concerns and conducting a series of robustness tests.Mechanism analysis reveals that high housing prices raise the living costs and working hours of migrants,leading them to leave their children behind in hometowns.However,the presence of high-quality public services such as education and healthcare can mitigate the negative impact of high housing prices to some extent.As revealed by the result of the heterogeneity effects,low-income,economically disadvantaged,and less-educated rural migrants are more susceptible to the influence of housing prices.And this effect is more pronounced in areas with stricter household registration systems.The research findings shed light on a pivotal factor contributing to the issue of left-behind children and provide policymakers with insights for formulating urban social security policies in pursuit of balanced and high-quality urban-rural development.
作者
郭冬梅
刘艺铭
李兵
GUO Dong-mei;LIU Yi-ming;LI Bing
出处
《中央财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第12期108-119,共12页
Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“国际贸易、创新质量与国内技术扩散乘数效应——基于中国专利引文数据的研究”(项目编号:71973161)
国家社科基金重大招标项目“城乡融合与新发展格局战略联动的内在机理与实现路径研究”(项目编号:21&ZD085)。
关键词
留守儿童
房价
流动人口
公共服务
Left-behind children
Housing price
Migrants
Public services
