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乌克兰危机对欧盟能源低碳转型的影响——基于安全与低碳目标耦合的视角

The Impact of Ukraine Crisis on Energy Low-carbon Transition of EU——Based on the Coupling of Energy Security and Low-carbon Goals
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摘要 乌克兰危机为欧盟及全球的能源低碳转型带来巨大冲击,但最终是产生促进作用还是抑制性影响尚具有争议。本研究从能源安全和能源低碳目标耦合的视角,分析了乌克兰危机对欧盟能源低碳转型的影响逻辑以及对世界其他地区的波及作用。乌克兰危机使全球现实主义思潮强势回归,国家安全及能源安全成为欧盟首要关注的目标。而能源低碳转型是欧盟实现能源自主的根本路径,也有利于发挥欧盟在新能源领域的国际优势。从理论和现实行动来看,乌克兰危机导致能源安全与低碳目标的耦合性加强,更加坚定了欧盟以大规模低碳能源保障能源安全的决心。因此,在乌克兰危机引发的安全焦虑下,欧盟的能源系统将加速向更加低碳的方向转型。同时,乌克兰危机的警示效应和欧盟能源行动的传递效应,将会给全球其他地区的能源低碳转型带来一定的外在驱动力。 The Ukraine Crisis has generated great shock on energy transition.However,it is still controversial that whether it will promote energy transition from fossil fuel to low carbon energy or not.Based on the coupling of energy security and low-carbon goals,this paper investigates the impact of Ukraine Crisis on energy low-carbon transition of EU,as well as the global,with relative theory in international political economics.The Ukraine Crisis leads to the renaissance of realism and security becomes the priority concerns of all countries.As to the EU,the Ukraine Crisis has strengthened the coupling of energy security and low-carbon.On the one hand,energy low-carbon transition is a fundamental way to realize energy independence;On the other hand,serious anxiety aroused by the Ukraine Crisis promote the society of EU to break through path dependence of fossil fuels,enhance the social value of low-carbon energy,and finally,accelerates the process of energy low-carbon transition in EU.Because of the warning effect and transmission effect,it also speeds up the low-carbon transition of the global.
作者 罗开艳
出处 《中国能源》 2023年第9期82-94,共13页 Energy of China
基金 2023年度湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会一般课题(编号:XSP2023JJZ009) 国家社科基金重大项目“习近平生态文明思想研究”(编号:18ZDA004)。
关键词 乌克兰危机 能源安全 低碳 能源转型 Ukraine Crisis Energy Security Low-carbon Energy Transition
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