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重大节假日出行方式选择模型研究

Research on Travel Mode Choice Model for Major Holidays
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摘要 为优化节假日高速公路免费政策,选取出行者变量、出行方式相关变量和行程特性变量作为效用变量,构建了出行方式位于上层、出行距离位于下层的NL模型。利用弧弹性法分析不同收费标准和收费里程条件下出行者的行为特性,并利用场景仿真评价多种收费组合对出行方式的影响。研究结果表明:提高收费标准,汽车出行比例会显著降低,且高速铁路承担了大部分的转移交通量。随着收费里程的增加,出行者逐渐倾向于出行成本较小的普通铁路。对长距离出行收费可以提升公共交通分担率,缓解节假日高速公路的交通拥堵。 To optimize the holiday free policy on expressways,the traveler variables,traffic mode-related variables and travel characteristic variables are selected as utility variables.The NL model is built with travel mode in upper layer and travel distance in lower layer.The behavior characteristics of travelers under different charge standards and distance are analyzed by arc elasticity,and the influence of various charge combinations on residents travel modes is evaluated by scene simulation.Comparing the change rate of travel modes in different scenarios,the proportion of car will be reduced by increasing charge standards,and the main transfer traffic will be allocated to high-speed train.Trains with less travel costs are more likely to be chosen by travelers as charge standards are increased.The results indicate that public transportation ridership is increased,and traffic congestion of expressway during holidays can be reduced by charging for long-distance travel.
作者 何永明 张磊 魏堃 曹剑 王锦扬 HE Yongming;ZHANG Lei;WEI Kun;CAO Jian;WANG Jinyang(School of Traffic and Transportation,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China;Key Laboratory of Road Structure and Material Transportation Industry,Chang’an University,Xi’an 710000,China)
出处 《大连交通大学学报》 CAS 2024年第1期13-19,共7页 Journal of Dalian Jiaotong University
基金 道路结构与材料交通运输行业重点实验室开放基金项目(300102212504) 东北林业大学碳中和专项科学基金项目(T20221011)。
关键词 节假日出行 免费政策 Nested Logit模型 出行方式 场景仿真 holiday traffic free policy Nested Logit model travel mode scene simulation
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