摘要
目的:分析新医改以来我国基本医保收支结存状况及风险警戒情况,为我国基本医保基金可持续发展提供理论依据。方法:收集2009—2022年我国基本医保数据并进行描述性统计分析,依据风险警戒区间进行基金结存风险警戒分析。结果:2009—2022年,我国职工医保参保人中退休人员占比持续增大,统筹基金尚有一定累计结存;居民基本医保参保人数自2020年开始减少,基金支出增速高于基金收入增速,基金结存呈减少趋势。结论:基本医保基金中长期平衡存在一定的风险,可能是由我国人口老龄化、筹资机制及待遇水平等因素导致。
Objective:To analyze the basic medical insurance fund balance status in China and the risk warning since the new medical reform, in order to provide decision-making references for the sustainable development of basic medical insurance fund in China.Methods:Collecting the data on the basic medical insurance fund in China from 2009 to 2022 for descriptive statistical analysis, and conduct fund balance risk warning analysis based on the risk warning interval.Results:During 2009-2021, the percentage of retirees enrolled in UEBMI has continued to increase, and there will still be a certain accumulated balance in the integrated fund. The number of participants in the URBMI has been decreased since 2020, the growth rate of fund expenditures became higher than the growth rate of fund revenues, the fund balance showed a decreasing trend.Conclusion:There are certain risks to the long-term balance of the basic medical insurance fund, which may caused by factors such as aging population, funding mechanisms, and treatment levels.
作者
吴唯倩
曾雁冰
Wu Weiqian;Zeng Yanbing(School of Public Health,Capital Medical University,Beijing,100069,China;不详)
出处
《中国卫生经济》
北大核心
2024年第1期34-37,共4页
Chinese Health Economics
基金
首都医科大学国家医疗保障研究院开放性课题(YB2023B02)
北京市社会科学基金决策咨询项目(22JCB038)。