摘要
收集全国区域新型农业经营主体基本信息,分析影响新型农业经营主体生存时间的多方面因素。运用Cox生存风险分析动态追踪了2005—2021年全国2988家新型农业经营主体的生存状况,记录其进入退出市场时间,采用KM估计方法刻画新型农业经营主体生存特征;通过对新型农业经营主体的管理能力、创新能力、运营能力分析,解释影响新型农业经营主体生存时间的关键因素。结果表明:27.6%新型农业经营主体退出农业产业,平均生存时间为7.71年。创新能力和运营能力显著影响新型农业经营主体的生存时间,专利、商标数量增加、提高认缴资本数额、开展农产品网络宣传和销售模式均会提高新型农业经营主体生存时间;管理能力中提高管理者的风险管控能力会提高新型农业经营主体生存时间,而股东关联其他企业数量增多却会降低新型农业经营主体生存时间。
The complex factors influencing the survival time of new agricultural business entities are analyzed by gathering the fundamental data of new agricultural business entities in China,and the survival status of 29,88 new agricultural business entities in China from 2005 to 2021 was dynamically tracked using Cox survival risk analysis.The timing of entry and exit from the market was noted,the KM estimation method was used to illustrate the survival traits of new agricultural management entities,and the management,innovation,and operation capabilities of new agricultural management entities were examined in order to identify the critical factors influencing the survival time of new agricultural management entities.The findings revealed that 7.71 years was the average survival time and that 27.6%of the new agricultural management organizations left the sector.The survival time of new agricultural business entities is significantly impacted by their capacity for innovation and operation,and will be improved by an increase in the number of patents and trademarks,capital subscriptions,and the creation of online marketing and sales strategies for agricultural products.The survival time of new agricultural business entities will increase in terms of management ability as risk management and control skills of managers improve,but the number of other enterprises associated with shareholders will grow,reducing the survival time of new agricultural business entities.
作者
李乐
麦强盛
Li Le;Mai Qiangsheng(College of Economics and Management,Southwest Forestry University,Kunming Yunnan 650233,China;College of Accounting,Southwest Forestry University,Kunming Yunnan 650233,China)
出处
《西南林业大学学报（社会科学）》
CAS
2024年第1期38-45,共8页
Journal of Southwest Forestry University(Social Sciences)
基金
云南省省院省校教育合作人文社科项目(SYSX202209)资助。
关键词
新型农业
经营主体
生存时间
Cox生存风险分析
创新能力
new agricultural business
business entity
survival time
Cox survival risk analysis
innovation ability
