摘要
经济韧性是指城市与区域在遭受冲击时,快速吸收、恢复并保持经济正常运行的能力,是实现区域高质量发展战略的关键。从冲击周期出发,将区域经济韧性划分为长周期经济韧性和短周期经济韧性,分别对长江中游城市群长短周期经济韧性水平进行测度,从时序演变特征、空间演变格局两方面分析其经济韧性的时空演变特征,并对其影响因素进行识别。结果表明:(1)长江中游城市群长短周期经济韧性的空间分布存在显著差异;(2)短周期经济韧性的主要影响因素随冲击类型与发展阶段的差异而不同,其中政府治理能力对经济韧性具有持久正向促进作用;(3)长周期经济韧性的影响因素具有一定的稳定性和规律性,创新能力、劳动力状况始终是影响经济韧性的核心要素,经济发展基础、外贸情况以及政府治理能力等因素对区域经济韧性也起到重要影响作用。以期为把握经济韧性发展规律,提升区域经济韧性水平提供参考依据。
Economic resilience refers to the ability of cities and regions to quickly absorb,recover and maintain normal economic operation when they suffer from shocks.This is crucial towards the realization of high⁃quality regional development strategies.Based on the impact cycle,this paper divided regional economic resilience into long⁃cycle and short⁃cycle economic resilience,and measured the level of long⁃cycle economic resilience of the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.The spatio⁃temporal evolution characteristics of economic resilience were also analyzed in terms of temporal and spatial evolution pattern.The corresponding influencing factors were further identified.The results showed that:(1)There were significant spatial differences in the economic resilience in the study area.(2)The main influencing factors of short⁃cycle economic resilience varied with the impact type and development stage.The government governance ability had a positive and lasting effect on economic resilience.(3)The influencing factors of long⁃cycle economic resilience demonstrated a certain stability and regularity.The innovation ability and labor status were the core factors affecting economic resilience.The factors such as economic development foundation,foreign trade and government governance ability also played an important role in regional economic resilience.These outcomes may provide a reference for grasping the law of economic resilience development and for improving the level of regional economic resilience.
作者
彭翀
陈梦雨
王强
张梦洁
林樱子
PENG Chong;CHEN Meng-yu;WANG Qiang;ZHANG Meng-jie;LIN Ying-zi(School of Architecture&Urban Planning,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China;Hubei Engineering and Technology Research Center of Urbanization,Wuhan 430074,China;Guangzhou Urban Planning&Design Survey Research Institute,Guangzhou 510663,China)
出处
《长江流域资源与环境》
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第1期14-26,共13页
Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AZD048)。
关键词
经济韧性
长短周期情景
时空演化
长江中游城市群
城市与区域规划
economic resilience
long and short cycle scenarios
spatio⁃temporal evolution
urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River
urban and regional planning
