摘要
本文首先通过选取指标构建实体经济、科技创新、现代金融和人力资源四个子系统。然后,运用耦合协同模型测度2011—2019年我国31个省(区、市)((1))的“四位协同”((2))发展水平,发现我国四位协同位于良好协同及以上的省(区、市)仅6个,其余25个省(区、市)均位于不协同的发展阶段。接着,选取人工智能专利数衡量人工智能,验证了人工智能对四位协同发展有显著的正向影响作用,并用工业机器人渗透度和软件产业收入替换核心解释变量进行稳健性检验,运用工具变量2SLS和动态面板系统GMM解决内生性问题;异质性检验表明,在人工智能基础设施、人才数量、研发投入相应较高地区,人工智能作用显著;相反,作用则不显著。随后,利用空间计量和门限效应模型对人工智能驱动四位协同的作用机制进行检验,发现人工智能驱动四位协同受到市场规模、基础设施投资、财政支出规模、信息服务程度的单门限条件影响,人工智能驱动四位协同的空间溢出效应尚不明显。最后,提出以人工智能驱动四位协同发展,建设现代化产业体系的实现路径。
This paper firstly constructs four sub-systems of real economy,scientific and technological innovation,modern finance and human resources by selecting indicators.Secondly,the coupling synergy model was used to measure the development level of the“four-sphere coordination”of 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China from 2011 to 2019,and it was found that only 6 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China have good four-sphere coordination or above,and the other 25 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)are in the development stage of non-coordination.Thirdly,the number of artificial intelligence patents is selected to measure artificial intelligence,and it is verified that artificial intelligence has a significant positive effect on the four-sphere coordination development.The core explanatory variables are replaced by industrial robot penetration and software industry income for the robustness test.Instrumental variable 2SLS and dynamic panel system GMM are used to solve the endogenous problem.Heterogeneity test shows which is in areas with relatively high AI infrastructure,talent quantity and R&D investment,AI plays a significant role.On the contrary,the effect is not significant.Fourthly,using spatial econometrics and threshold effect model to test the action mechanism of the AI-driven four-sphere coordination,it is found that the AI-driven four-sphere coordination is affected by the single threshold conditions of market size,infrastructure investment,financial expenditure scale and information service degree,and the spatial spillover effect of the AI-driven four-sphere coordination is not obvious.Finally,it puts forward the realization paths of the four-sphere coordination development driving by artificial intelligence and the construction of modern industrial systems.
作者
韩民春
彭刚东
袁瀚坤
HAN Minchun;PENG Gangdong;YUAN Hankun
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第3期112-132,共21页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家社科基金重点项目“工业机器人替代与我国就业市场的失衡和再平衡问题研究”(17AJY007),项目负责人:韩民春
中央高校基本科研业务费资项目“中国服务业开放推动制造业价值链升级的理论机制,实证检验与政策优化”(2022WKYXZD007),项目负责人:韩民春
江苏省社科基金青年项目“以服务业扩大开放提升江苏出口企业国际竞争力研究”(23EYC019),项目负责人:袁瀚坤。
关键词
人工智能
实体经济
科技创新
现代金融
人力资源
Artificial intelligence
The real economy
Scientific and technological innovation
Mod-ern finance
Human resources
