摘要
采用熵权法测度2015—2020年中国30个省份制造业高质量发展水平,并采用泰尔指数和莫兰指数分析区域差异和空间集聚特征。研究发现:(1)整体上看,制造业高质量发展呈长期向好态势,但发展水平依旧不高;分维度来看,增长规模和产品质量处于较低水平,且呈波动下降趋势,产业结构优化升级、两化融合、创新驱动、开放发展呈不断上升态势,而绿色发展则呈波动上升趋势;从区域分析来看,东部制造业高质量发展水平呈稳步向上态势,中部总体呈不断上升状态,西部呈上升态势,但增速较慢,东北则出现停滞。(2)区域间差距在不断扩大,直接原因是地区内差异的不断增加,间接原因则是区域划分方式不同和产业转移。(3)各省市区制造业高质量发展水平呈现显著的空间正相关性,但其空间集聚性在不断减弱,未来中西部地区需充分挖掘资源禀赋优势,有序承接产业转移,东部地区则需进一步强化对外协同作用,引导内陆省份有序发展。
This paper uses the entropy weight method to measure the high-quality development level of the manufacturing industry in 30 provinces of China from 2015 to 2020 and uses the Thiel index and Moran index to analyze regional differences and spatial agglomeration characteristics.The results show that:(1)Overall,the high-quality development level of the manufacturing industry is showing a long-term positive trend,but it is still not high.From a multidimensional perspective,the growth scale and product quality are relatively low and show a fluctuating downward trend.The optimization and upgrading of industrial structure,integration of industrialization and industrialization,innovation-driven,and open development are constantly rising,while green development shows a fluctuating upward trend.From a regional analysis perspective,the high-quality development level of the manufacturing industry in the eastern region is steadily upward,with the central region showing a continuous upward trend,the western region showing an upward trend,but the growth rate is relatively slow,and the northeast region is experiencing stagnation.(2)The gap between regions constantly expands,directly due to the increasing regional differences and indirectly due to different regional division methods and industrial transfer.(3)The high-quality development level of the manufacturing industry in various provinces and cities shows a significant spatial positive correlation,but its spatial agglomeration is constantly weakening.In the future,the central and western regions need to fully tap into the advantages of resource endowment to undertake industrial transfer,and the eastern regions need to further strengthen external synergy to guide the orderly development of inland provinces.This article aims to further deepen the theoretical connotation of high-quality development in the manufacturing industry,systematically demonstrate the current development situation under high-quality guidance,and provide a basis and reference for improving China's manufacturing industry development policies.
作者
方梓旭
戴志敏
FANG Zi-xu;DAI Zhi-min(School of Economics and Management,Nanchang University,Nanchang 330036)
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第2期27-34,共8页
Soft Science
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(20BTJ018)
教育部人文社会科学规划项目(21YJA630009)。
关键词
制造业高质量发展
测度
时空特征
high-quality development of manufacturing
measurement
spatio-temporal characteristics
